As we move closer to the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the qualifying matches intensify in their competitiveness. Spain, the No. 1-ranked team according to FIFA, has made a strong start in the group stage. Meanwhile, Georgia is looking to keep its thin qualification hopes alive. Will it be business as usual for the Spanish? Or a massive upset for the Georgians?
The odds are in Spain’s favor. The Spanish are -450 favorites to win and +550 to draw at DraftKings Sportsbook, while Georgia is at +1200. Let’s get into a prediction and a pick for this contest.
Georgia vs. Spain prediction, pick
You can’t take care of business better than the Spanish have. Through four group stage games, they have achieved four wins and four clean sheets, scoring 15 goals. They’ve hardly needed to lean on their top talents, but continue to get big games from Mikel Merino and Mikel Oyarzabal. Another victory would all but clinch the group and an automatic bid for World Cup football.
Georgia is on its last legs. With one win in four games, it needs a miracle to surpass second place Turkiye. However, a win here and a shock Bulgaria upset over Turkiye puts Georgia within three points and in striking distance on goal differential. Then the Georgians would have to beat Bulgaria by a hefty margin while hoping Spain could repeat its dominant 6-0 win over the Turks. It’s implausible, but not impossible.
If they have a hope, it comes from PSG winger Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. He’s scored two of their six goals in the group stage. But it’s hard to see hope here; in their first matchup, Spain won the expected goals battle 3.83 to 0. Missing some chances kept the scoreline to 2-0. With an automatic qualifying spot on the line, I expect the Spanish to romp over Georgia.
