The Patriots and Drake Maye have been one of the surprise stories of the year. New England has stormed into a tie for the top seed in the AFC, and Maye is looking to capture an MVP award in his second season. A Thursday Night duel with the struggling New York Jets is a chance for the Pats to stack another win, and for Maye to pad his MVP case. Can he and the Pats capitalize, or will they fall victim to the trap game?
Looking at the odds for the Week 11 Thursday Night Football matchup, the Patriots enter as 12.5-point favorites and hold -850 odds on the Moneyline on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Jets hold +575 odds of pulling off the outright upset, with the game total set at 43.5 points. Let’s dig into my favorite Drake Maye prop bet for this TNF showdown.
Best Drake Maye Prop Bets
Maye was the most efficient and turnover-free quarterback for the early portion of the season. He was setting efficiency marks that only Tom Brady had surpassed. However, over the past few weeks, the cracks have begun to show; Maye has thrown a pick in three straight games. He’s also been under a 70% completion rate for two consecutive weeks; in his previous eight games, that had only happened twice.
It’s a good time to face the Jets. They’ve been solid on a down-to-down basis defending the pass, but it’s the big plays that get them in trouble. New York has allowed a 17:0 touchdown-to-interception ratio so far; the former is 25th in the NFL, the latter is the worst mark in the league. The Jets are the only secondary yet to pick off a pass.
Without Sauce Gardner, it only gets more dire. This secondary will collapse down the stretch, and I expect Maye to take full advantage. The game script may not be in favor of his passing yards, but he will convert the big plays and avoid any serious mistakes.
