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Prediction, pick for Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown

Prediction, pick for Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown

DraftKings Network

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

Gabriel Bonfim is taking on Randy Brown in the Main Event of this week’s UFC Fight Night. Bonfim is coming off a win against Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson. Brown recently knocked out Nicolas Daldy in the second round.

Here is my best bet for Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown at tonight’s UFC Fight Night. 

Gabriel Bonfim to Win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (-105)

Brown is seven years older and is taller by two inches, with a six-inch reach advantage. But in this contest, Bonfim is the more versatile and well-rounded fighter than Brown is. In this bout, Bonfim averages more significant strikes per minute and more takedowns per 15 minutes than Brown.

Bonfim has been in the UFC since 2023 and has gone 5-1 in the promotion with three submission victories. Gabriel’s brother, Ismael Bonfim, is also on this card as he is facing Chris Padilla in the third bout of the Main Card. The Bonfim brothers train at Cerrado MMA in Brazil, where UFC veterans Vicente Luque and Gilbert Burns have trained in the past.

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Bonfim is a -180 favorite while Brown was a +150 underdog. This fight has an over/under of 2.5 rounds. Since Bonfim has won 16 of his 18 fights by finish, getting him to beat Brown via KO/TKO/DQ or submission at -105 is a good play.

Ryan Wohl

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.