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MLB Betting Preview for Tuesday, October 28: Odds, Expert Picks, and Top Props for World Series Game 4

MLB Betting Preview for Tuesday, October 28: Odds, Expert Picks, and Top Props for World Series Game 4

Published:

By: Andy Silva

After an epic 18-inning classic Game 3 that saw the Dodgers defeat the Blue Jays thanks to a Freddie Freeman walk-off home run, there will no rest for the weary as these teams turn right around and take the diamond again tonight. Ahead 2-1 in the series, the Dodgers will look to capitalize with Shohei Ohtani on the mound in Game 4’s pitching matchup:

  • Toronto Blue Jays (Shane Bieber) at Los Angeles Dodgers (Shohei Ohtani) — 8 p.m. ET (Fox)

Here’s some MLB picks, props and World Series Game 4 predictions to consider for October 28.

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MLB Odds & Storylines

The Dodgers are a -207 favorite on the Moneyline on DraftKings Sportsbook, with the run total set at 8. Meanwhile, according to the DraftKings Network Betting Splits page, 57% of the handle and 65% of bets are backing Los Angeles. At the same time, 85% of the handle and 74% of bets are on the over on the run total. The Dodgers and Jays used a combined 19 pitchers in Monday’s 18-inning affair, so it’s fair to say both bullpens are fried.

Luckily for the Dodgers, they’re handing the ball to the other-worldly Shohei Ohtani. The superstar is 2-0 this posteason with a 2.25 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 12 innings pitched. So it should be no shock that Garion Thorne is backing Ohtani in multiple ways in his Best Prop Bets article, highlighting Ohtani to Record a Win (+116) and Ohtani 7+ Strikeouts (-111). Garion points out that Ohtani is striking out 42.2% of the batters he’s faced with a 1.22 FIP in the postseason. He’ll have to be at his best, however, as the Jays tend to put the ball in play, posting the league’s lowest strikeout rate during the regular season. However, Garion calls back to Ohtani’s performance against the Brewers in Game 4 of the NLCS, where he struck out 10 batters in a lineup that profiles similarly to Toronto. Garion argues that given how cooked the bullpens are, it’s reasonable to assume that Dave Roberts will squeeze as much as he can out of his sensational superstar.

On the Toronto side, the bad news is George Springer’s status is still a question mark after he left Game 3 in the 7th inning with a “side” injury. However, the good news is that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one single in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games as road underdogs (Guerrero 1+ Alt Singles -104). The Blue Jays have also covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following an extra innings loss (Blue Jays +1.5 run line -117) and Toronto hitters are 19-for-67 (.284) lifetime vs Ohtani.

If you’re looking to put together a same game parlay, Griffin Wong cooked up his own SGP for World Series Game 4:

  • First 5 Innings – U3.5 Runs
  • Shohei Ohtani O18.5 Outs Recorded
  • Shohei Ohtani 2+ Walks

Wondering how he landed on this SGP? Check out Griffin’s Top Same Game Parlay article.

For more information on the most bet player props by handle on the DraftKings Sportsbook, updated every five minutes, check out our player props page.

MLB Playoffs 25% SGP Boost

If you want to get in on the action, I’ve got good news — with DraftKings Sportsbook you can get a 25% Profit Boost to use on a 4+ leg SGP bet for every MLB game this Postseason! The terms are as follows:

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday, October 28th at 8:00 PM ET
  • Following Opt-In, you’ll be issued with one (1) single-use Profit Boosts to be used on a 4+ leg MLB SGP bet
  • Profit Boost: 25%
  • Max Bet: $30
  • Minimum total bet odds of +300 or longer apply
  • One (1) Profit Boost Tokens per customer for this promotion
  • Profit Boost Tokens expire at the conclusion of the TOR vs. LAD game on 10/28
  • Wagering on this promotion must use funds from your cash balance or DK Dollars to qualify
  • Must be 21+, unless otherwise stated, and located in AZ, CO, CT, DC (18+), IA, IL, IN, KS, KY (18+), LA, MA, MD, ME, MI, NC, NH (18+), NJ, NY, OH, ONT (19+), OR, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY (18+)

Head over to DraftKings Sportsbook to opt in and take advantage of today’s MLB Profit Boost or any other storyline you’re chasing tonight on the diamond!

Andy Silva has been with DraftKings since 2018. A 2006 graduate of the University of Connecticut, Andy worked as a copy editor for North of Boston Media Group and then the Boston Herald prior to joining DraftKings. He is a lifelong sneakerhead going back to the heyday of Michael Jordan in the 1990s. His all-time favorites are the Air Jordan 11 and the Air Max Penny 1. Follow him on Twitter at @ByAndySilva and on BlueSky at @byandysilva.bsky.social.
Disclaimer

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.