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Can Jahmyr Gibbs be King of the End Zone on Monday 10/20/25?

Can Jahmyr Gibbs be King of the End Zone on Monday 10/20/25?

Published:

By: Griffin Wong

The only thing better than one Monday Night Football game? Two Monday Night Football games. Tonight, football fans will have the opportunity to enjoy a double header of teams in playoff contention, as the Detroit Lions host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 7 p.m. ET and the Seattle Seahawks host the Houston Texans at 10 p.m. ET.

In honor of what promises to be an exciting night of football action, DraftKings is bringing back its King of the End Zone promotion, which, for the first time this season, is encompassing multiple games. If you place a singles bet ($5 minimum) on a touchdown-scorer market in either game and opt into the contest, the bet becomes eligible to win a share of $2 million in bonus bets if the selected player scores the longest touchdown of the day.

Of course, the player has to score, which is why there might be no better option than just to go with the man most likely to score: Detroit’s Jahmyr Gibbs. Below, I’ll break down the contest and analyze Gibbs’ chances of scoring the longest touchdown of the night.

King of the End Zone — What You Need to Know

The two images below break down everything you need to know about the King of the End Zone contest:

The promotion is fairly simple: as long as you opt in and place a Singles bet with a stake of at least $5 on a TD Scorer prop bet from your cash or DK Dollars balance prior to the scheduled kickoff time of the Buccaneers-Lions game and don’t cash it out, your bet is eligible to receive a share of the prize pool. Your bet doesn’t need to hit to qualify; if you choose Gibbs to score two touchdowns and he scores one but it’s the longest of the day, you’d still win a share of the bonus bets. Passing touchdowns will not count: if you choose one of the quarterbacks, he’ll need to run it in himself. Either team’s D/ST, though not an individual player, is eligible to become the King of the End Zone.

King of the End Zone Preview & Picks | Monday 10/20/25

Players with shortest odds to score a TD:

  • Jahmyr Gibbs (-205)
  • David Montgomery (-130)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown (-120)
  • Rachaad White (+105)
  • Mike Evans (+110)
  • Emeka Egbuka (+110)

Analysis: Can Jahmyr Gibbs be King of the End Zone?

After breaking out from a good running back into one of the league’s very best last season, Gibbs has produced similar numbers in the first six games of 2025, turning 87 carries into 390 yards and four scores and adding an additional 23 catches into 112 yards and an additional touchdown. While he’s on pace for fewer touchdowns than last season, he’s still found the end zone in four of his six games, which is a reasonable pace and makes him a fairly sure bet to score, a prerequisite for eventually being the King of the End Zone.

His efficiency is down, though; after averaging 5.4 yards per touch as a rookie and 6.4 last season, he’s down to 4.6 so far in 2025. In part, it’s come down to his ability to produce yards after contact; in 2024, he averaged 2.4 yards after contact per attempt and has managed just 1.3 so far this season. He also broke tackles every 11.9 carries last season and has broken just three in total through the first six games. As a receiver, too, he hasn’t quite demonstrated the elusiveness after the catch as he did in 2024.

In fact, he’s only scored one touchdown of more than 10 yards, which came through the air in a Week 5 win over the Cincinnati Bengals, and it was only the second-longest touchdown of the game. He did tie for the longest score in a Week 4 win over the Cleveland Browns with an eight-yard rush, but with two games featuring high-powered, aggressive offenses, eight yards won’t get it done tonight. He still has four rushes of 20 or more yards this season, tied for the fourth-most in football, but he’s not quite on pace to match the 13 he had last season.

Part of it is Detroit’s scheme and offensive line. While the Lions have still been solid in the trenches, they’ve graded out worse as both run-blockers and pass-blockers than they did in 2024. He was also slightly more efficient on targets along the left sideline than along the right in 2024, and he has only received one target in those zones this season. Plus, relative to his teammate Montgomery, he’s gotten fewer touches in play action and fewer touches out of run-pass options, both of which carry the element of surprise and can lead to bigger plays. It’s no surprise that Montgomery, not Gibbs, was the King of the End Zone for the Week 3 Monday Night Football clash between Detroit and the Baltimore Ravens.

Gibbs’ matchup tonight doesn’t help. Tampa Bay has allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game on the fifth-worst efficiency and the 14th-fewest rushing scores, and its run defense has contributed the 12th-most expected points overall. The Buccaneers have allowed the third-most receiving yards to opposing running backs, but they’ve conceded just one score. They’re also one of just 14 teams not to allow a 40-plus-yard rush. Gibbs’ best chance might come through the air — the longest touchdown Tampa Bay has allowed this season came in Week 1, when Bijan Robinson took a Michael Penix Jr. screen pass for a 50-yard score — but expecting him to produce a long score against a team that hasn’t allowed a touchdown of more than 21 yards since Week 2 is risky.

Verdict

Jahmyr Gibbs to be King of the End Zone on Monday 10/20/25? – No.

Too many touchdowns are likely to be scored across the two games for me to feel comfortable with a guy who has so many factors working against him. He hasn’t been as efficient on the ground, and the Buccaneers have done a great job limiting opposing running backs. Gibbs might have a better shot if Tampa Bay captain Lavonte David, who’s questionable with a knee injury, ends up sitting, but I like both teams’ wideouts more in what should be a pass-heavy game. That’s not to mention the Seahawks-Texans clash, which features the NFL’s leading receiver, Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.