An exciting Lightweight fight between Kyle Nelson and Matt Frevola is opening up this week’s UFC Fight Night in Vancouver, Canada, at the Rogers Arena. Nelson and Frevola are both looking to get back on track after coming off knockout losses.
Check out my best bet for Kyle Nelson vs. Matt Frevola at this week’s UFC Fight Night.
Matt Frevola to Win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (+150)
In this fight on paper, Nelson averages more significant strikes per minute (3.51 vs. 3.37) while being the more accurate fighter (45% vs. 40%). But something those stats don’t account for is power, which is Frevola’s x-factor.
Before 2021, Frevola had only one knockout in his career, but since then, He has won three fights by first-round KO/TKO. Frevola is 3-2 in his last five contests, with each of them ending by KO/TKO. Although Frevola is coming off losses to Fares Ziam and Benoit Saint Denis, he is still a dangerous fighter.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Frevola is a -120 favorite while Nelson is a +100 underdog. Since seven of Frevola’s 11 victories have come by finish, you can get him to beat Nelson at +150 to win by KO/TKO/DQ or submission. After losing two straight fights, Frevola will need to make it a priority to display a high output from the start of the bout. If Frevola pressed Nelson, it is unlikely he would be able to handle his power for long.
