The Toronto Blue Jays led MLB in comeback wins during the 2025 regular season — so it should come as no surprise that, even when facing a 2-0 deficit on the road, the team didn’t flinch.
After dropping the first two games of the AL Championship Series to the Mariners at home, the Jays responded by blowing Seattle out of the water in Games 3 and 4 at T-Mobile Park — evening the series and silencing a pennant-starved Mariners crowd. Toronto looks to steal one more on the road before the series shifts back up north, where they’ll have a chance to clinch their first World Series berth since 1993.
Toronto’s lineup went silent in the first two games of the set but has returned to the unstoppable force that squashed the New York Yankees in just four games. That resurgence has been powered by star slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who’s establishing his reputation as one of October’s most dangerous hitters.
First pitch is set for 6:08 p.m. ET. Toronto enters as slight favorites at -116 on the moneyline, while Seattle sits close behind at -105. The total is set at seven runs.
Ahead of Friday night’s ALCS showdown, here’s my favorite Vladimir Guerrero Jr. prop bet on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Vladimir Guerrero Jr. prop bet for AL Championship Series Game 5
When Vladimir Guerrero Jr. signed his 14-year, $500 million extension in April, critics called it an overpay. Six months later, it looks more like highway robbery. The 26-year-old slugger immediately justified his monster contract in the AL Division Series, hitting 9-for-17 (.529) with a 1.609 OPS, three homers — including a grand slam — and nine RBIs during a four-game dismantling of the New York Yankees.
Through the first two games of the ALCS, it appeared as though he had exhausted all his effort into conquering his mortal enemies, going hitless in Games 1 and 2 against the Mariners in Toronto. He swiftly disposed of that narrative as the series turned over to Seattle.
Guerrero went 4-for-4 with a homer in Game 3, finishing a triple shy of the cycle while tying Jose Bautista for the most home runs in a single postseason in franchise history (4). It didn’t take long for him to break that record, as he smashed an opposite-field laser in Game 4 to polish a 2-for-5 performance and secure another dominant win.
In Game 5, the Jays will face Seattle right-hander Bryce Miller, who delivered six innings of one-run ball in Game 1 and held Guerrero hitless in three at-bats. While he’s just 1-for-7 lifetime against Miller, the Mariners hurler posted a disappointing 5.68 ERA in 2025. Guerrero, meanwhile, held an .818 OPS with 17 homers and 60 RBIs against righties this season.
Guerrero is scorching hot again at exactly the right time. Toronto is now within striking distance of seizing the series lead before returning home for the remainder of the set. Facing a pitcher he’s already seen this series, the star first baseman could be ready to jump on Miller and propel his team to victory — just like he’s done all October.
