Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.
This evening gives us Game 2 of the NLCS between the Dodgers and the Brewers. Game 1 only featured a single home run — though there may have been an amazing catch in centerfield that prevented a grand slam. Let’s hope for some extra fireworks on Tuesday, when my top home run props on the DraftKings Sportsbook are Mookie Betts and Jackson Chourio.
Top Home Run Props on DraftKings Sportsbook
Mookie Betts 1+ Home Run (+536)
It has not been easy to hit a home run off Freddy Peralta this year, especially when the Brewers’ ace is pitching at American Family Field. In 91.2 innings at home during the regular season, Peralta was in possession of a 1.77 ERA and he surrendered only 0.69 opponent long balls per nine. That said, it’s not like Peralta has been impervious to the home run throughout his career. In fact, since the beginning of 2023, Peralta has conceded 73 homers, which is tied for the 12th-most in MLB during that span of time. He’s also got a serious case of reverse splits in this three-year sample. While LHBs have managed a paltry 0.95 long balls per nine off Peralta, RHBs are hitting 1.62 home runs per nine. That means if you’re searching for a home run prop on the Dodgers for Game 2, you should probably be hunting for a right-handed bat like Mookie Betts. The former MVP had his best month of 2025 in September, posting a .258 ISO and a 144 wRC+. Betts has carried that success over to the playoffs, as well, slashing .333/.394/.500 with a 150 wRC+ in 33 plate appearances. He’s still searching for his first big fly of the postseason, yet I have a feeling that that could come on Tuesday.
Jackson Chourio 1+ Home Run (+500)
I will fully admit that in the 100 or so times I’ve written this article in 2025, I have never once picked a home run prop against Yoshinobu Yamamoto. He’s that good. However, while Yamamoto doesn’t have a glaring red flag weakness to exploit, there is some logic to backing Jackson Chourio as the most likely Brewers’ asset to go deep in Game 2. First and foremost, due to his nasty splitter, Yamamoto has been death to opposing LHBs throughout his tenure in MLB. Among qualified pitchers since the start of 2024, Yamamoto has given up the fewest home runs per nine within the split (0.41) and the lowest opponent wOBA (.226). So, basically, that means steer clear of Christian Yelich (+660), Brice Turang (+900) and Sal Frelick (+1000). Speaking of that splitter, Chourio was incredible against offspeed pitches during the regular season, hitting .431 with an .810 slugging percentage against change-ups and splitters. If Yamamoto hangs one to the superstar sophomore, Bernie Brewer might be taking a trip down the ol’ home run slide.
