The Falcons are home underdogs to the Bills on Monday Night Football to conclude NFL Week 6, with Atlanta fresh off a bye and looking to get a big win over a Super Bowl contender. While the Bills come in off a frustrating loss to the Patriots on Sunday night, they’ll have their hands full with a very talented Atlanta offense on the road.
If the Falcons want to find success in this one, they’d be smart to attack Buffalo on the ground. The Bills are allowing the second-most rushing yards per game this season, and opposing running backs are gaining nearly 100 yards per game by themselves. Bijan Robinson will be featured out of the backfield, and has put up big numbers over the last few games.
Atlanta went up against an elite Tampa Bay run defense back in Week 1, and while Robinson had a good game through the air, he only managed 24 rushing yards. Since then, Bijan is averaging 96.7 rushing yards over his last three, going over Monday’s prop of 72.5 yards in two of the games (the other one he finished with 72).
Look for the Falcons to look to establish the run early in this matchup, and not shy away as the game goes on. Averaging well over five yards per carry since Week 1, just getting to about 15 carries should be enough for Robinson to go for 75-plus rushing yards in this game.
NFL Pick: Bijan Robinson OVER 72.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
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