The featured bout of today’s Prelims is a Featherweight contest between Lucas Almeida vs. Michael Aswell. Both fighters enter this fight having lost two of their previous three contests. The Main Event is a Lightweight fight between Charles Oliveira and Mateusz Gamrot.
Here is my best bet for Lucas Almeida vs. Michael Aswell, which is taking place at today’s UFC Fight Night in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Fight Not To Go The Distance (+110)
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Aswell is a -258 favorite while Almeida is a +210 underdog. The over/under for this fight is set at 2.5 rounds, with the over being -154.
Almeida is 2-3 in the UFC, while Aswell is 0-2 between the UFC and Dana White’s Contender Series. Almeida is taller (5’11” vs. 5’8″) with a two-inch reach advantage (71″ vs. 69″) in this contest.
Given that 14 of Almeida’s 15 victories have come by finish, and two of Aswell’s previous three wins were by KO/TKO, taking this fight not to go the distance at +110 is a good play. Both fighters have been inconsistent lately, making it hard to back either of them right now. Aswell and Almeida, are both primary strikers, which should make this a battle on the feet. Since they are each coming off a loss, a finish is possible since they will likely come out aggressively.
