The third fight at this week’s UFC Fight Night in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, is a three-round Heavyweight bout between Jhonata Diniz and Mario Pinto. Diniz is 3-1 in the UFC, while Pinto is undefeated and recently won his first UFC fight against Austen Lane in March. Both fighters have seven finishes in their careers.
Here is my best bet for Jhonata Diniz vs. Mario Pinto at this week’s UFC Fight Night in Brazil.
Method of Victory: KO/TKO/DQ (-140)
On paper, this is a very close bout with Pinto standing one inch taller (6’5″ vs. 6’4″) and Diniz having a slight edge in standing reach (79.5″ vs. 79″). Diniz has the edge in experience in the UFC, but Pinto has recorded back-to-back knockouts in the last year and has looked like a future contender.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Diniz is a -142 favorite as Pinto is a +120 underdog. The over in this fight is 1.5 rounds, which is -220. Given the fight’s close nature, it is best to bet on the bout ending via KO/TKO/DQ, which is -140. Of Diniz’s 10 MMA fights, eight have ended by knockout. Pinto begins his fights very aggressively, which should force Diniz to respond with offense of his own quickly.
