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Malta vs. Netherlands prediction, pick for Thursday 10/9/25

Malta vs. Netherlands prediction, pick for Thursday 10/9/25

Published:

By: Ciaran Doyle

The road to the 2026 FIFA World Cup continues on Thursday for these two countries in Group G of UEFA qualifying. The group consists of the Netherlands, Poland, Finland, Lithuania and Malta. Thursday’s matchup will feature first vs. last place in this group.

The Dutch have won three and drawn one of their four games, while Malta has played five, losing three times and drawing twice.

The Netherlands will be huge favorites to win this one and for good reason. In the first group stage qualifying match between these two sides, the Dutch were 8-0 victors at home. Even though Thursday’s game is on the road, expect a similar dominant performance.

The Netherlands are -3500 favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook for this one, with a draw available at +1700. Fancy a Malta upset? They are +6000 on the moneyline.

Malta vs. Netherlands Prediction, Pick

This bet can be found under the “Match Parlays” tab.

Malta are winless in World Cup qualifying and rank 166th in the world according to the FIFA world rankings. The Dutch rank 7th in the world and will have legit aspirations not only to qualify for the 2026 World Cup but to compete to win it. As of writing, the Netherlands are +2000 to win the World Cup on DraftKings Sportsbook, the eighth lowest odds.

The Dutch should win this one with style points. Considering they scored eight the first time these teams played, four or more goals seems realistic. The Netherlands finished that game in June with 64.8% possession and 27 shot attempts. They dominated in every facet of the game, which you would expect in this matchup between these two countries.

The Dutch have scored 14 goals in their first four qualifying games, and everything indicates they will continue to dominate this group.

The Pick: Netherlands Win and Over 3.5 Goals (-190)

Ciaran has been an editor for the DraftKings Network team since 2023. He graduated from the University of Arizona before attending Arizona State University for his master’s degree in sports journalism. Ciaran previously covered Phoenix Rising FC for Cronkite News before joining DraftKings. He is passionate about sports betting, and his biggest focus has always been on the NFL and soccer. You can find him on X at @Ciaran_Doyle7.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.