Cincinnati arrives short-handed, yet every throw with meaning still tilts toward him. He’s the single receiver Denver must shade, the one Browning trusts when pressure crowds, and the player who can turn routine slants into drive-shifting explosives. Under primetime lights and thin air, Ja’Marr Chase becomes more than a target share; he becomes, potentially, Cincinnati’s only tether to competing.
To wit—below, check out one of my favorite Ja’Marr Chase props to consider from this Monday Night tilt.
Best Ja’Marr Chase prop bet for Broncos vs. Bengals
Ja’Marr Chase o65.5 receiving yards (-115)
Ja’Marr Chase over 64.5 receiving yards is the cleanest way to back Cincinnati’s offense because volume, route geometry, and game script all tilt in his favor. Ja’Marr Chase wide receiver authored a 165-yard eruption in Week 2 on 14 catches with a touchdown, and he still profiles as the only Bengals skill player who consistently converts possessions into points while Joe Burrow sits. Across three games he has 21 receptions for 241 yards, including 129 yards after the catch and 12 first downs, which underscores both usage and drive equity. His 28% target share dwarfs every other Bengals option, and a 2.47 yards-per-route-run clip places him right in the WR1 efficiency band.
The context should keep the targets humming. Cincinnati’s run game has been nonfunctional at 2.0 yards per carry, so second-and-long and third-and-medium situations recur, and those downs funnel to Chase on slants, drags, pivots, and speed outs. Those are the throws Jake Browning is most likely to attempt under heat, and Denver’s front supplies heat in waves, sitting tied for first in sacks at 12 and fifth in pressure rate at 31%. With Cincinnati’s pass block win rate sitting bottom five, hot reads and quick-game concepts should dominate early, while scramble-drill targets to Chase appear whenever structure breaks down.
The matchup and setting nudge the over further. Denver has yielded 288 passing yards per game across its last two, and even last season Chase stacked 9-102 against this secondary. As +7.5 underdogs at altitude, the Bengals are likely to skew pass-heavy, and the second half should inflate attempts as fatigue sets in. Denver has allowed 7.2 yards per play in second halves at home, which pairs neatly with Chase’s after-the-catch profile once off coverage appears.
At 64.5 yards, the line sits well below Chase’s ceiling and comfortably within his median given projected 9–11 targets. The role, the pressure-induced quick game, and the late-volume script combine to make this over a strong, repeatable position rather than a bet that requires a single explosive play.
