DKNetwork Logo DKNetwork Logo
Newcastle vs. Arsenal prediction, pick for Sunday 9/28/25

Newcastle vs. Arsenal prediction, pick for Sunday 9/28/25

Published:

By: Ciaran Doyle

Arsenal travel to the north of England on Sunday to take on Newcastle at St. James’ Park.

The Gunners, unsurprisingly, sit in second place in the Premier League after five games. It’s been a slower start for Newcastle, sitting 13th in the table with only one win in five. Sunday’s game is crucial for both sides. Liverpool have already created a sizable gap at the top of the league over Arsenal, while Newcastle will have their sights aimed at a top-five finish for the second consecutive season.

Arsenal are +115 favorites on the moneyline for this one on DraftKings Sportsbook, with a draw available at +235. Fancy a Newcastle upset? The Magpies are +245 on the moneyline.

Newcastle vs. Arsenal Prediction, Pick

We have a lot of recent data to go off for this one, as these teams met four times last season. They played twice in the Premier League and twice in the semi-final of the Carabao Cup.

Newcastle surprisingly got the better of Arsenal three times, with the Gunners winning just one. I’m not backing that trend to continue as Arsenal are such tough opposition, but the Magpies certainly match up well.

I will bet the under instead, as I doubt three or more goals will be scored in this one. Across the four matchups from a season ago, not one of them went over this total. In this Premier League season, Arsenal have only conceded twice, tied for the best mark in the league. Newcastle have only conceded one more, which is a tie for the second best mark in the league.

This has all the makings of a low-scoring affair, and every goal in this one will be crucial. I’m backing two goals or less to be scored for the fifth consecutive game between these teams.

The Pick: Under 2.5 Total Goals

Ciaran has been an editor for the DraftKings Network team since 2023. He graduated from the University of Arizona before attending Arizona State University for his master’s degree in sports journalism. Ciaran previously covered Phoenix Rising FC for Cronkite News before joining DraftKings. He is passionate about sports betting, and his biggest focus has always been on the NFL and soccer. You can find him on X at @Ciaran_Doyle7.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.