The first Australian to compete on today’s UFC Fight Night card from Perth, Western Australia, is Tom “Big Train” Nolan, who is from Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. This is Nolan’s third straight fight in Australia, as he is coming off a victory against Viacheslav Borshchev at UFC 312 in February. His opponent, Charlie Campbell, is 9-2 with six knockouts and has won three consecutive fights.
Here is my best bet for Tom Nolan vs. Charlie Campbell at UFC Perth.
Charlie Campbell Moneyline (+124)
Charlie Campbell is from the legendary Serra-Longo Fight Team in Long Island, New York. Head Coach Ray Longo is one of the top coaches in the sport, elevating each fighter on this team. Campbell came up short on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2022, but he has since found his way in the UFC and has gone 2-0.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Tom Nolan is the favorite at -148 while Campbell is a +124 underdog in this bout.
Nolan is known for his striking, but he isn’t the most well-rounded fighter. That is where Campbell can take advantage in this matchup, as he excels on the feet and on the ground. Nolan averages 0.27 more significant strikes per minute, but Campbell is more accurate (54% vs. 45%) while being better defensively (55% vs. 46%). On the ground, Campbell is landing nearly three takedowns per 15 minutes at a 40 percent rate. If he can establish his takedown attacks early in this contest, he should be in a good position to pull off the upset.