NFL Week 4 is upon us — you can find all my NFL Week 4 best bets below. The article will be constantly updated throughout the week as I add picks.
If you’re looking to bet player props, I put out an article with all my player props for Sunday of NFL Week 4 with analysis on the DKN Daily Bets podcast.
Vikings ML (-140) 1-unit: The Vikings are off a blowout of the Bengals last week with Carson Wentz under center, but that win can be chalked up to the Minnesota defense and run game. That said, I don’t think we need Wentz to do more than simply manage the game once again in order to get a win over the Steelers. This is the morning game over in Ireland, so no home field on either side. The Steelers sit at a very fortunate 2-1, squeaking out a win over the Jets, and beating the Patriots by one score last week. But New England practically handed the game to Pittsburgh, turning the ball over five times and leaving a ton of points on the table due to silly mistakes. I don’t think Minnesota will make those mistakes. The one good defense that Aaron Rodgers has faced was a home loss to the Seahawks, and the Vikings look like they are very solid on the defensive side of the ball. I expect the defense to make Rodgers and company uncomfortable. The Steelers rank 26th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed, so the Vikings should find success on the ground. I think Minnesota is built well to expose Pittsburgh’s flaws and get a win in Dublin.
Chargers/Packers ML Parlay (-130) 2-units: Going to the moneyline parlay here is a bit cheaper than playing a six-point teaser, so that’s the route I’m going. The Chargers have looked the part with their 3-0 start, and while they’ll encounter some speed bumps along the way, I don’t think the Giants will be one of them. There is one big unknown in the game, which is Jaxson Dart getting his first NFL start. Los Angeles will have to adjust to the rookie quarterback, who had a strong preseason, but I think it’s a bigger mismatch for the Giants. This is a big ask for New York to send Dart out there earlier than it’d like to face a good defense. Chargers should find plenty of success through the air and on the ground, and I expect them to improve to 4-0. Then we get the Micah Parsons revenge game on SNF in Dallas, and I see it going well for the former Cowboy. Dallas has had plenty of struggles this season, particularly on defense. Off a bad loss in Cleveland, I expect the Pack to be locked in and pick apart this Dallas secondary. Look for Green Bay to hang a big number in this game. With the Dallas offensive line dinged up, Parsons will have a good chance to get into the backfield and make Dak Prescott’s day pretty difficult.
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