Wednesday presents a two-game WNBA playoff slate. The Liberty are hosting the Mercury, and the Valkyries are hosting the Lynx. Both the Liberty and Lynx lead their respective series 1-0 and can advance with a win. Below, I have featured three of my favorite WNBA player prop bets for these contests on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Top WNBA Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
Sabrina Ionescu U 18.5 Points (-115)
This line is inflated due to Breanna Stewart (knee) being questionable, but the veteran is on track to play tonight after participating in shoot-around this morning, making Ionescu a great bet for under 18.5 points. If Stewart plays as expected, Wednesday will be the fifth game this season in which the Liberty have had Ionescu, Stewart, and Emma Meesseman all available. In the first four, Ionescu is averaging only 11 PPG, and her largest output in these contests is 16 points.
In these tilts playing alongside Stewart and Meeseeman, Ionescu is handling a 20.1% usage rate, which is a massive drop from her 28.8% average for the season. Ionescu is only averaging 0.43 points per minute when sharing the floor with Stewart and Meeseeman, so even if we project Ionescu to play all 40 minutes of tonight’s contest, which is obviously a high bar, she is only projecting for 17.3 points.
Jonquel Jones U 1.5 Made Three Pointers (-145)
Jones will also be negatively affected if Stewart suits up tonight as expected. In the four games New York has played with Stewart, Ionescu and Meesseman this season, Jones has seen a smaller role of 29 minutes per game and a 17% usage rate, and as a long-range shooter, she is only averaging 1.0 made three pointers on 3.3 attempts in these contests.
Jones has failed to hit multiple three pointers in all four of these games with Stewart, Ionescu and Meesseman, and this is a tough matchup for Jones as an outside shooter, as the Mercury are limiting their opponents to the fourth-lowest three-point percentage in the league this season (32.1%). In her four matchups with Phoenix, Jones is 2-for-9 on three pointers, and she hasn’t exceeded 1.5 made three pointers in any of these games.
Janelle Salaun O 1.5 Made Three Pointers (-115)
While this is a tough spot vs. the Lynx’s league-best defense, Salaun has a great chance to hit multiple three pointers tonight. The rookie hit 3-of-7 three pointers in Game 1 vs. the Minnesota on Sunday, and she has three makes from beyond the arc in two of her past three matchups with the Lynx. Salaun is averaging 2.0 made three pointers on 5.1 attempts since the All-Star break (40%), and the rookie has hit multiple three pointers in 13 of her 23 starts during this span.
Salaun has been a slightly better long-range shooter at home this season, and she should see 35+ minutes tonight with the Valkyries’ season on the line, giving her a great chance to exceed 1.5 made three pointers.
