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Prediction, pick for Alexander Hernandez vs. Diego Ferreira at Noche UFC

Prediction, pick for Alexander Hernandez vs. Diego Ferreira at Noche UFC

Sports Betting Picks UFC DraftKings Network

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

The opening bout of the Noche UFC Main Card features a Lightweight bout between Alexander Hernandez vs. Diego Ferreira. Hernandez has won three straight fights for the first time since 2018, as Ferreira is 2-1 in his last three bouts but is coming off a loss.

Here is my best bet for Alexander Hernandez vs. Diego Ferreira right here.

Alexander Hernandez Moneyline (-105)

In 2021, Ferreira went 0-3 with two losses by knockout, and it seemed like his career was coming to an end. He then picked up two straight knockouts from 2023 to 2024. But once again, Ferreira has a fighter, eight years younger than himself, in his way to decide which way his career will go.

Even though Hernandez is the one who won his last bout, he is a -105 underdog while the veteran is a -1115 favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Hernandez has been inconsistent in the UFC, but when he is at his best, he still possesses elite upside.

In this fight, Hernandez is better on the ground and must mix in takedowns to catch Ferreira off guard. Hernandez lands more takedowns per 15 minutes at a higher rate, which are all better than Ferreira’s in this area. If Hernandez moves forward and has a high output, he will wear Ferreira down throughout the three rounds.

Ryan Wohl

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.