After Brian Robinson Jr. was traded to the 49ers last month, Croskey-Merritt ($7,000 for Showdown) became a trendy pick for fantasy football drafts and the rookie delivered in Week 1 with a strong NFL debut of 14.2 FPTS. The Arizona product rushed for 82 carries and a touchdown on 10 carries in the Commanders’ 21-6 win over the Giants. Croskey-Merritt averaged an elite 8.2 YPC, which ranked third among all the running backs in Week 1 that saw at least 10 carries. His 10 carries led Washington’s backfield, and Croskey-Merritt saw two redzone carries. However, the rookie was almost exclusively only used as a rusher. Croskey-Merritt only logged 32.9% of the snaps, and he only saw one target on a team-low 19% route rate.
Meanwhile, Ekeler ($6,800) was heavily utilized in the passing game, as always. The veteran hauled in all three of his targets for 31 yards. Ekeler was targeted on 15% of his routes, and he ran a route on 51% of his team’s dropbacks. Also, Ekeler saw six carries – including two redzone carries – which he turned into 26 yards. Overall, Ekeler finished with 8.7 FPTS.
Based on this usage, it appears that Washington’s plan is to have Croskey-Merritt be the team’s lead rusher, while Ekeler is the primary receiving back, who also mixes in with some groundwork.
All this usage came in a game that the Commanders led for the entirety of the contest. Now, Washington heads to Green Bay for a tough road matchup vs. the Packers at Lambeau Field, and the Commanders are a 3.5-point underdog for this matchup on DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this situation, Washington could trail for a good chunk of this tilt and a negative game script certainly would favor Ekeler over Croskey-Merritt for fantasy purposes, given the latter’s lack of usage as a receiver in Week 1. The Packers gave up the third-fewest yards per rush in Week 1 (2.1) and if Croskey-Merritt is primarily only used a rusher in this matchup, he could struggle to make an impact. Conversely, Green Bay was very susceptible to receiving backs in Week 1, allowing a league-high 14 catches to running backs.
As you can see, this is a much better spot for Ekeler to produce, and trusting the veteran over Croskey-Merritt in Week 2 is the right move.