We have one more day to decide the semifinal bracket in EuroBasket 2025. Both Georgia and Finland have fought hard through the group stage and pulled off huge upsets in the Round of 16 to reach this point. Now they’ll duke it out for a spot amongst the last four teams in the tournament.
The Finnish are five-point favorites and hold -185 odds on the moneyline at DraftKings Sportsbook. Georgia is the underdog at +154 on the moneyline. The total is set at 163.5 points. Let’s look at the best bets and predictions for this contest.
Georgia vs. Finland prediction, pick
Of course, the story for the Finns has been Lauri Markkanen. The Utah Jazz star is far and away the best player on the roster, carrying them through the group stage with his two-way excellence. They needed every drop of production they could get out of him to beat Serbia, and the big man delivered.
It was one heck of a performance to overcome 33 points from Serbian superstar Nikola Jokic and his strong supporting cast. Now the Finnish have the inside track on moving to the final four, a huge step in their team development.
Georgia got here because of their defense. Anchored by their frontcourt tandem of Sandro Mamukelashvili and Goga Bitadze, they’ve been locking down the paint and gathering boards all tournament long. It was all on display against France: the French NBA trio of Guerschon Yabusele, Bilal Coulibaly, and Zaccharie Risacher combined for 19 points on 6-of-21 shooting.
Both defenses will be tested here, but Lauri is a difficult talent to contain. When he’s drawing fouls and knocking down jumpers, nobody in this tournament has had an answer for him. Expect a big performance from Lauri to deliver the win for Finland.