Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.
We’ve only got three Monday slates left in the MLB regular season, and while baseball’s no longer the only game in town, I’m still here to give out three home run bets on the DraftKings Sportsbook: Francisco Lindor, Jo Adell and Trevor Larnach.
Top Home Run Props on DraftKings Sportsbook
Francisco Lindor 1+ Home Run (+390)
I’m of two minds in this spot. On the one hand, Aaron Nola has been absolutely destroyed by lefty bats in 2025, giving up 13 of his 15 home runs within the split, which equates out to a massive 2.76 long balls per nine. On the other, Pete Alonso (+295), who is very much right-handed, has owned Nola throughout the pair’s careers, with six home runs and a 1.092 OPS in a 55 at-bat sample. In reality, the answer here is just to bet on both Francisco Lindor and Alonso, yet for the scientific purposes of this article, I’ll be officially backing the former. The switch-hitting Lindor has been at his best as a left-handed bat this season, with a .215 ISO and a 137 wRC+ when getting the opportunity to face an RHP. Lindor has also been red-hot since the beginning of August, slashing .338/.435/.559 with a 181 wRC+ across 161 plate appearances. Look for Lindor to make some noise to start off this huge NL East series.
Jo Adell 1+ Home Run (+250)
Look, I’m all for acknowledging how awesome Mike Trout (+210) is, but it’s wild that the former MVP has shorter odds than Jo Adell on Monday night to go deep. It’s been a true breakout campaign for the one-time top prospect, as Adell hit his 35th home run of the season on Sunday. In fact, Adell’s now left the yard in five of the seven games he’s played in September. For the season as whole, Adell’s .583 expected slugging percentage against RHPs is by far the best on Los Angeles’ roster and he compliments that stat with 99th percentile bat speed (77.7) and a 97th percentile barrel rate (18.1%). Speaking of barrels, few pitchers love surrendering barrels like Simeon Woods Richardson, who comes into this evening’s action with a sixth percentile opponent barrel rate (11.6%) and a seventh percentile ground ball rate (31.7%). Hitters have had no issues elevating the baseball off Woods Richardson in 2025 and that’s why he’s conceded 1.61 home runs per nine.
Trevor Larnach 1+ Home Run (+500)
While I will fully admit that the sample size we have of Caden Dana pitching at the MLB level is small, it’s also been so poor that I’m willing to overlook volume in this particular spot. In six appearances and 21.1 innings, Dana has surrendered seven home runs and has managed an ugly 7.17 ERA. It’s not like the results have been much better at Triple-A, either. In 2025, Dana’s posted a 5.93 ERA and a 5.90 FIP in his 18 starts in the PCL. When with the Angels, it’s been opposing LHBs that have been Dana’s biggest kryptonite, as the 21-year-old has allowed those within the split to combine for a .718 slugging percentage and a .474 wOBA. Matt Wallner (+235) is probably the most dangerous left-handed hitter in the Twins’ current lineup, but let’s take a chance on Trevor Larnach, as his odds are more than double his teammate’s. 15 of Larnach’s 16 long balls have been hit off of RHPs this season.
