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EuroBasket 2025: Poland vs. Turkey prediction, pick for Tuesday 9/9/25

EuroBasket 2025: Poland vs. Turkey prediction, pick for Tuesday 9/9/25

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By: Charlie Cummings

After a Round of 16 full of drama and significant upsets, we advance to the quarterfinals of EuroBasket 2025. A place in the final four on the line, these teams will be going full tilt against one another. Poland and Turkey are two teams eager to prove they belong in Europe, and will face off on Tuesday.

The Turks are 11-point favorites and hold -650 odds on the moneyline at DraftKings Sportsbook. Poland is the underdog at +470 on the moneyline. The total is set at 162 points. Let’s look at the best bets and predictions for this Polandโ€“Turkey contest.


Poland vs. Turkey prediction, pick

The story of the tournament for Poland has been Jordan Loyd. The former Toronto Raptor has balled out game after game, proving to be an unstoppable scorer against any defense. His brilliance hasnโ€™t just helped Poland win a couple of gamesโ€”itโ€™s theย reasonย theyโ€™ve made it this far, full stop.

In their Round of 16 win over Bosnia and Herzegovina, Loyd poured in 28 points to fuel a dramatic comeback and secure yet another win. If Poland hopes to upset Turkey, they’ll need him in top form once again.

Turkey, on the other hand, brings depthโ€”and star power. And in tournaments like these, you need both to survive. The ascension of NBA All-Starย Alperen ลžengรผnย has been the storyline for the Turkish side. After dominating the group stage, the Houston Rockets big man willed Turkey to a comeback win over Sweden with a monster stat line: 24 points, 16 rebounds, and six assists.

Polandโ€™s frontcourt has shown flashes of defensive ability, but slowing ลžengรผn down is another level entirely. I donโ€™t see them having a true answer for him here. Still, Jordan Loydโ€™s scoring prowess gives Poland a fighting chanceโ€”and enough firepower to keep this game close and cover the double-digit spread.

Best Bet: Poland +11

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.