Both Lithuania and Greece passed significant tests in the Round of 16 to advance to the quarterfinals of EuroBasket 2025. Now the two will square off with a spot in the semifinals on the line, looking to prove they can run with the big dogs of Europe. No pressure.
The Greeks are seven-point favorites and hold -298 odds on the moneyline at DraftKings Sportsbook. Lithuania is the underdog at +240 on the moneyline. The total is set at 162 points. Let’s look at the best bets and predictions for this contest.
Greece vs. Lithuania prediction, pick
It took an all-around team effort for Lithuania to reach this point. After a strong showing in the group stage, they were expected to ride their deep rosterโand Jonas Valanฤiลซnasโinto the knockout rounds. But with JV playing only 10 minutes and Kristaps Porziลฤฃis going off for Latvia, Lithuania had to dig deep. A massive performance from Arnas Veliฤka and a few key contributors pushed them through to the quarterfinals. Impressive stuff.
They’ll need another huge effort across the board to contend with the Greek Freak and his squad. Giannis Antetokounmpo was once again a force of nature in the Round of 16, dropping 37 points and grabbing 10 rebounds in a dominant performance that crushed Israelโs hopes of advancing.
Lithuaniaโs deep frontcourt gives them a fighting chance to contain Antetokounmpo. Theyโve got athleticism and NBA-level talent. But the limited minutes for Valanฤiลซnas in the last round are a real concern. If heโs unable to log a significant role in this matchup, I have serious doubts about Lithuaniaโs ability to reach the semifinals.
