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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula Pick, Prediction for US Open Semifinals

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula Pick, Prediction for US Open Semifinals

Published:

By: Blake Krass

The US Open women’s singles semifinals are on Thursday. The most anticipated matchup is the battle between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula.

These are my US Open best bets to target on DraftKings Sportsbook for the match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula.


Sabalenka Preview

Aryna Sabalenka takes on Jessica Pegula in the 2025 US Open semifinals. This is a rematch of the great 2024 US Open Final between these two special players. Sabalenka is the No. 1-ranked woman in the world, but she has yet to win a Grand Slam this season. She lost the Australian Open and French Open Finals to two different Americans, Madison Keys and Coco Gauff. Sabalenka then lost to Iga Swiatek in the Wimbledon semifinals. Now, a third American, Pegula, stands between her and a 2025 Grand Slam title. Sabalenka won the 2024 US Open against Pegula in two sets, 7-5, 7-5. She also made the US Open Final in 2023, and is looking to make it three straight trips. So far in this tournament, Sabalenka has looked dominant. She has yet to drop a set in this tournament. She should also be well-rested for this match, after her quarterfinal opponent, Marketa Vondrousova, had to forfeit their match due to injury.

Pegula Preview

Jessica Pegula is determined to get revenge in this match. She had an incredible run to the 2024 US Open Final before falling to Sabalenka. Pegula followed up that 2024 run with another fantastic tournament in 2025. Just like Sabalenka, she is yet to drop a set in this tournament, bulldozing her way through lesser competition. However, she has had a fortunate run due to upsets throughout her bracket. Ann Li, the No. 58-ranked player in the world, is the toughest opponent Pegula has faced so far. The World No. 1, Aryna Sabalenka, will be a much different type of test. As not just an American, but someone from the state of New York, Pegula will have the backing of the US Open crowd. However, that might not be enough to beat Sabalenka.

Sabalenka vs. Pegula Pick

My best bet for this match is for Aryna Sabalenka to win two sets to zero. Sablenka has yet to drop a set in this 2025 US Open, and she is the defending champion here. In last year’s final, she beat Jessica Pegula two sets to zero. This could be a repeat of that performance, where Pegula puts up a good fight but is unable to take down the best player in the world. Sabalenka has much more experience in these big spots. This is just Pegula’s second career Grand Slam singles semifinal. Meanwhile, Sabalenka is making her 13th Grand Slam semifinal appearance. The big match experience and that extra gear that the World No. 1 possesses should propel her to another victory over Pegula.

Best Bet: Aryna Sabalenka to win 2:0 (+100)

Blake Krass has contributed to DraftKings since 2024, and is a content creator with a specialty in sports betting. Blake primarily focuses on college football and NFL coverage but will also be covering college basketball, the NBA, MLB and more. Prior to arriving at DK, Blake was a sports betting writer for The Action Network.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and customer (my username is blakekrass) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.