Everyone thought a deal would get done between these two teams before they met in late July, something to do with Joe Ryan going to the Sox and Jarren Duran floating elsewhere. Not so—yet. And altogether unlikely. Instead, they face each other with the same rosters as before the All-Star break, this time with wild card hunt stakes like crazy. Below, I’ve got my preview, prediction, and best bet for this Monday baseball game between the Twins and the Red Sox.
Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.
Twins vs. Red Sox prediction, preview
Simeon Woods Richardson carries a 4.14 ERA into this start but has shown whiff potential with his sharp breaking ball, even as his command wavered last outing with five walks in three frames.
On the other side, Richard Fitts’ 4.86 ERA belies flashes of brilliance—he tamed Minnesota in limited duty last year—though his last effort yielded four runs in just 3⅓ innings. Both staffs rank in the lower half of MLB in ERA, tilting the field in favor of offense.
Boston’s lineup has ignited recently, leading the league in doubles and slugging .426 at home, with Alex Bregman, Jarren Duran, Roman Anthony, and Trevor Story delivering clutch hits against the Dodgers. Wilyer Abreu is the only premier Red Sox homer-hitter, and their aggression early in counts will test Woods Richardson’s developing repertoire. This is an XBH machine of a lineup.
Minnesota counters with power of its own—Byron Buxton’s 23 homers and recent rally‑cap outing by Max Kepler signal the Twins’ ability to strike back. Target Field’s dimensions amplify left‑handed pop, setting the stage for a slugfest.
Red Sox vs. Twins pick, best bet
The underbelly of this tilt lies in the bullpen: Minnesota’s relievers have rescued late games recently, while Boston’s pen has allowed just a handful of inherited runners to score. I see this as a 5–4 Sox win, favoring the under in a contest where each inning should feature traffic on the bases. In a toss‑up that hinges on marginal pitching edges and home‑field comfort, back the Sox outright on the road, just based on momentum after churning through the cream of the NL’s crop.
Best bet: Red Sox (-110) at Twins
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