UFC 318 is tonight with Max Holloway defending his BMF title against No. 6 Dustin Poirier in the Main Event. An exciting fight on this Main Card is No. 13 Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez in a three-round welterweight contest.
Here is my best bet for Holland vs. Rodriguez at UFC 318.
Kevin Holland to Win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (-160)
Holland is back for the fourth time in 2025, going 3-1 this year. He has fought 12 times in the previous three years and is one of the most active fighters in the UFC. Since returning to 170 pounds, Holland has won two straight bouts. With Holland being a massive -625 favorite against Rodriguez on DraftKings Sportsbook, let’s look at a different way to back Holland.
Holland has won six of his previous seven fights by knockout or submission. Getting Holland to win this bout by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission is an excellent play, as he is always looking for a quick finish in the Octagon. Although Rodriguez averages more significant strikes per minute (7.39 vs. 4.24), Holland is the more efficient fighter (50% vs. 48%).
Holland has all the physical advantages, standing two inches taller (6’3″ vs. 6’1″) and possessing a huge seven-inch larger reach (81″ vs. 74″). An underrated part of Holland’s game is his defense. He only allows 3.11 significant strikes per minute. Holland is the better fighter in this matchup and has all the tools to win his third straight fight.
