Home run props. Home run props. Home run props. Home run props. Home run props. Home run props. Home run props. …Home run props.
That should be good enough for our SEO overlords.
Now that that’s out of the way, here are my top three picks for a home run on Tuesday’s MLB slate.
Top Home Run Props on DraftKings Sportsbook
Addison Barger 1+ Home Run (+275)
Barger’s overall home run total of 12 won’t wow anyone, but you have to remember that the 25-year-old wasn’t really getting everyday at-bats in the Jays’ lineup till mid-May. Across 248 plate appearances in 2025, Barger sports a healthy .247 ISO, along with 96th percentile marks in both hard hit rate (54.8) and average exit velocity (93.6). He’s a legitimate threat to leave the building every time he steps into the batter’s box — but especially so on Tuesday night with Aaron Civale taking the mound for the White Sox. Dating back to the beginning of last season, among the 81 pitchers with at least 200 innings thrown, Civale’s 1.63 HR/9 is the highest mark in MLB. The man loves giving up home runs.
Alec Burleson 1+ Home Run (+380)
It’s been a rough go lately for Jake Irvin. Well, it’s been a rough go all season for the RHP, as Irvin is one of only five men to surrenderer at least 20 opponent home runs as we sit in the second week of July. Still, specific to his past six outings, Irvin has pitched to an inflated 6.54 ERA and he’s given up a ridiculous 2.84 opponent long balls per nine. That’s 10 in just 31.2 innings if you want to double-check the math. The Cardinals don’t really employ a traditional home run threat, so you sort of have your choice of semi-dangerous left-handed bat. I’ve singled out Burleson, but Lars Nootbar (+380) or Nolan Gorman (+380) would also work. In 2025, Burleson is slashing .308/.352/.495 with a .187 ISO against righties. He’s got a homer off Irvin in five career at-bats, too.
Nick Kurtz 1+ Home Run (+265)
I keep saying it, but Didier Fuentes is simply not ready to be an MLB pitcher. That was probably obvious from the fact that the right-hander was born in 2005, yet despite that, Fuentes will make his fourth-career start on Tuesday night in Sacramento. Sutter Health Park has played as the ninth-best home run field in baseball this season according to MLB Park Factors, and it’s Triple-A dimensions should once again help Nick Kurtz, who has nine home runs in his 26 home games in 2025. Kurtz is also in possession of a .923 OPS and a .314 ISO against RHPs in his rookie campaign. That more than aligns with Fuentes’ weaknesses, as the 20-year-old is currently surrendering a .680 slugging percentage to opposing LHBs. It’s a small sample, but it’s difficult to ignore.
