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Is Shohei Ohtani a must-start MLB DFS pick at his price tag on Wednesday vs. the Rockies?

Is Shohei Ohtani a must-start MLB DFS pick at his price tag on Wednesday vs. the Rockies?

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By: Dan Johnson

Shohei Ohtani is priced at a staggering $7,400 on DraftKings tonight, and at first glance, it feels like a bold tax on anyone who wants to lock him into their MLB DFS lineup. It’s one of the most expensive hitter salaries you’ll see all season. The contest, MLB $200K Bat Flip [$50K to 1st], is a big one too—a 13,000-player tournament with $50,000 going to first place—so the stakes demand serious thought. And, just like most fantasy baseball rotisseries, the scoring system on DraftKings rewards power in a big way: home runs, doubles, steals, and RBI all rack up serious fantasy points. Ohtani is built to crush those categories. That makes his ceiling astronomical on any given night. And thus makes building your lineup around him at his almost unheard-of $7,400 price tag a serious personnel decision, what with other superstars like Aaron Judge ($6,700) and Ronald Acuña Jr. ($6,600) nearly a full grand cheaper.

Be sure to head to the contest’s official lobby to set your lineup for tonight’s gangbusters slate: MLB $200K Bat Flip [$50K to 1st]!

Is Shohei Ohtani a DFS must-start at $7,400 at Coors Field?

When you look deeper at the context, the steep price looks a lot more justified. Ohtani has been on an absolute tear in 2025, slugging .615 with a 170 wRC+ and a ridiculous 52.4% hard-hit rate. He’s on pace for 50-plus homers and 30-plus steals, and that combo is as rare as it gets. His average exit velocity is well over 95 mph, and he’s barreling the ball at a 19.1% clip.

Coors Field is a true hitter’s paradise. It produced a park factor of 1.35 for runs and 1.32 for home runs in 2024, making it by far the most hitter-friendly park in the majors. The early 2025 data is telling the same story too—Coors currently sports a park factor of 1.33 for runs and 1.29 for homers in 2025, ranking at or near the top again. Its altitude sits at 5,200 feet, so the thin summer air gives every batted ball extra carry. Any ball driven into the gaps turns into extra bases because the spacious outfield (347 feet to left, 415 to center, 350 to right) is tougher for defenders to cover. On top of that, the warm, dry weather tonight will reduce drag and make the ball jump even more. Every statistical indicator screams that Coors will amplify his power, and every mistake Dollander throws is going to travel a mile.

And, right. There’s the Dollander of it all. His matchup skyrockets the price, too, as he’s facing Chase Dollander, who has been absolutely pounded this year. Dollander’s ERA is an ugly 5.88 with a 1.52 WHIP, he’s getting crushed by right- and left-handed batters alike, and he’s allowing a 41.7% hard-hit rate and 1.82 HR/9. He’s missing spots routinely and his stuff just isn’t fooling anyone at this level. Hitters are lifting the ball with ease despite spending most of his time on the road at sea-level parks that suppress power. Even his advanced metrics look bleak—his 5.65 xERA and 11.1% barrel rate highlight a pitcher who lacks the swing-and-miss stuff to keep elite bats off balance. His fastball sits 96.2 mph, but he struggles to miss bats, with a mere 23.5 % CSW and sky‑high hard‑contact rates in the 90th+ percentile.

The verdict

Many savvy DFS players in 2025 employ stacking and simulation-based optimizers to build lineups, and it’s a safe bet Ohtani will grade out as a top-projected bat despite the price. He’ll also be popular (high “chalk”)—a lot of entrants will roster him due to the Coors Field effect. In a large-field tournament, pivoting off a chalky expensive hitter is one contrarian strategy; if Ohtani has a mediocre game and you spent that salary more efficiently elsewhere, you could leap ahead of a chunk of the field.

But this is the kind of spot where the top DFS players jump all over the elite-priced bat. Sure, it’s always scary to drop $7,400 on a single hitter—especially in a tournament this big where you need to fit in eight other pieces around him. But the logic is simple: Ohtani can do what nobody else in this contest can do. Even a modest night—a double, a steal, a run scored—can add up to a tidy sum of fantasy points. A big night? Two homers and a stolen base? That could single-handedly carry a lineup into serious money. Coors Field and a weak pitcher amplify that already terrifying ceiling.

That’s why fading him tonight feels like playing with fire. Even if you hunt for pivots elsewhere or try to get contrarian, you’re strategically actively betting against one of the most dynamic players in the sport, at the most hitter-friendly park, in the most lopsided matchup. There’s upside and then there’s Ohtani at Coors against Dollander upside—they’re not even close.

Start Shohei Ohtani at $7,400 in DFS tonight: Yes

Just for example: Aaron Judge ($6,700) is up against Brady Singer of the Reds. Singer sports a solid 4.13 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, and only a 42.9 % hard‑contact rate, plus a respectable 10.5 % barrel rate. He’s closer to league average. Judge will face mid‑four‑seamers and solid command—far sterner than Dollander’s volatile mix.

Start Ohtani with confidence in DFS tonight, and be sure to set your lineups here: MLB $200K Bat Flip [$50K to 1st]!

Dan Johnson has been an editor, writer, and analyst for DraftKings and DraftKings Network since 2024. He’s previously held editorial posts at The Paris Review, Macmillan Publishers, Bedford/St. Martin’s Press, ASSIGNMENT Magazine, and FantasySixPack. You can find his various editorial work & writing (sports-related and non-) at all of the above.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is thegreatdansby9) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.