Jalen Williams has been one of the Thunder’s most dynamic secondary options all postseason, and Game 7 is the perfect stage for him to showcase why his numbers deserve your attention tonight. Coming into this do-or-die matchup, Williams is averaging 18.7 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 5.4 assists across 37.7 minutes per game this postseason. But it’s the way he responds to big-game pressure that really drives this play. Below, I’ve detailed my favorite Jalen Williams prop bet based on my Thunder vs. Pacers prediction and pick.
Best Jalen Williams prop bet on DraftKings Sportsbook
Jalen Williams o9.5 assists + rebounds (-135)
Williams cooled off in Game 6, putting up just 16 points on 13 shots with limited contributions across the board. That lackluster performance followed his 40-point explosion in Game 5, so bettors chasing his points tonight will pay a premium. Instead, the edge lies in his rebounds and assists, especially with the Thunder facing a Pacers defense that’s focused on locking up Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
Williams will draw a mix of Andrew Nembhard and Aaron Nesmith tonight, two aggressive perimeter defenders who struggle to stay disciplined off-ball. That’s where Williams excels—he ranks in the 89th percentile in secondary playmaking creation rate this postseason and holds a 25.8% assist rate when SGA is on the floor drawing doubles. Indiana’s scheme also allows a 33.7% offensive rebound rate to wings like Williams, which fuels his second-chance scoring and transition opportunities.
Williams thrives as a secondary ballhandler in this offense. Even in games where his shot doesn’t fall, he’s creating playmaking opportunities and crashing the glass with consistency. Across the first five games of this series, he posted six or more boards three times and handed out at least four assists in four of those games. Advanced numbers show that he generated seven or more potential assists in multiple outings—it just hasn’t shown up in the box score yet.
That’s why tonight’s spots are so tempting. Rebounds and assists props offer much better value and fit perfectly into the Thunder’s plan to diversify their attack. Given his history of delivering across all categories when the Thunder need him most, look for Williams to stuff the stat sheet even if he doesn’t light up the scoreboard. Bet the over on his assists and rebounds tonight with confidence.
