Home run. Round tripper. Long ball. Big fly. It doesn’t matter what you call it, so long as the person you bet on hits one. That’s why I’m here to help.
Here are my top home runs props on DraftKings Sportsbook for tonight’s full MLB slate.
Top Home Run Props on DraftKings Sportsbook
Heliot Ramos 1+ Home Run (+250)
It always feels like cheating to include a prop for a game at Coors Field, but this spot is impossible to ignore with Carson Palmquist on the mound for the Rockies. In his four starts this season, the rookie LHP is allowing exactly 2.00 opponent home runs per nine. Honestly, I’m surprised it’s not more. Palmquist is the exact archetype of pitcher you don’t want pitching in Colorado. It’s a small sample, but Palmquist’s 0.64 GB/FB ratio would be the fourth-lowest qualified mark in MLB. His 12.9% opponent barrel rate would be the highest. This is all amazing news for Ramos, who is hitting .339 with a .315 ISO and a 190 wRC+ off southpaws since the beginning of 2024. Few have been more potent within the split than Ramos across the past 15 months.
Spencer Torkelson 1+ Home Run (+370)
Torkelson is in the midst of a true breakout campaign and he’s been at his absolute best when getting the opportunity to hit against LHPs. To wit, in 77 plate appearances within the split, Torkelson has managed a 1.013 OPS and a .361 ISO. His .428 expected wOBA versus southpaws is the ninth-highest mark for any player with at least 50 PAs in a matchup with a lefty. Interestingly, Torkelson’s teammate, Gleyber Torres, ranks seventh on that list at .461. At +550, Torres might also be worth a look to leave the yard this evening, especially with Cade Povich the left-hander in question. The left field wall was moved in at Camden Yards this offseason and no one has suffered more for that alteration than Povich. The 25-year-old is conceding 2.63 opponent home runs per nine in Baltimore in 2025.
Corey Seager 1+ Home Run (+290)
This is a weird one. Seager has not looked like himself since returning from the IL back on May 28. In fact, in the nine games he’s played, Seager has just two hits and neither is for extra bases. That said, Seager’s mashed at least 30 home runs in each of the past three seasons and his .372 expected wOBA in 2025 portends better results are on the horizon. Maybe that’ll be tonight in a matchup with Simeon Woods Richardson, who is back in the big leagues with the Twins after a quick demotion. Woods Richardson had surrendered at least one long ball in his last seven appearances in MLB and, for the season as a whole, the RHP is allowing opponents to hit 1.91 home runs per nine. Woods Richardson has also conceded a whopping .569 slugging percentage to left-handed opponents.
