“The Machine” Merab Dvalishvili defends his 135-pound title for the second time tonight at UFC 316. Dvalishvili defeated Sean O’Malley at UFC 306 in September 2024, but is trying to move to 2-0 against the former champion.
Dvalishvili is the favorite in this fight at -305 on DraftKings Sportsbook, with O’Malley being a +245 underdog. The champion is -175 to win this fight by decision. Dvalishvili’s last five wins have come by decision, and 11 of his previous 12.
O’Malley has 12 knockouts in his career, and it is +450 for “Suga” to win this fight by KO/TKO/DQ. Six of his last eight wins in the UFC have been knockouts. The over/under for this bout is set at 4.5 rounds, and the over is -270. Also, this fight is -245 to go the distance and +180 to end via stoppage.