Is the comeback season officially on? To be determined. I really want it to happen for real, and stick. It’s sure looked good over the last seven days for Julio Rodriguez and the Mariners. We’ll break down all the stats below, especially as it relates to his betting markets. Let’s evaluate his’s best prop bets on the market for tonight’s game between the Mariners and the Nationals.
Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.
Best Julio Rodriguez prop bet for Cubs vs. Rockies tonight
Julio Rodriguez 3+ Hits + Runs + RBI (+120)
With a scorching .300 average and three home runs in his last seven games (read: the last week), Rodríguez is hitting with authority. His 45% hard-hit rate and 8.9% barrel percentage scream consistency—he’s not just making contact, he’s making it count. Rodríguez has been at the epicenter of Seattle’s recent surge, leading the charge with a .348 average and seven RBIs in his last five games, too. His ability to get on base has been crucial to Seattle’s recent success, with players like J.P. Crawford (.384 OBP) and Jorge Polanco (.336 OBP) frequently getting on ahead of him, setting the table for his chances to drive in runs.
Williams, meanwhile, has been hit hard in his last start, surrendering five earned runs on six hits in just 3.2 innings. In fact, he’s been especially vulnerable to right-handed hitters, allowing a .308 batting average and .536 slugging percentage against them this season. His 5.4% barrel rate allowed is a red flag, and his xwOBA of .318 hints at even more damage if the ball gets put in play. Williams also struggles on the road, with a 7.11 ERA and a .311 opponent batting average away from home.
Rodríguez has feasted on pitchers like Williams—those who struggle to limit hard contact. At home, Rodríguez has a .291/.355/.525 slash line with five home runs in 24 games, showing he thrives in the friendly confines of T-Mobile Park. The Mariners’ lineup is clicking, and with the power he’s showing, Rodríguez will capitalize. Williams’ inconsistency, especially on the road, sets the stage for a big night. Expect Rodríguez to step up with multiple chances to knock in runs in his home confines.
Behind Rodríguez, Cal Raleigh’s raw power (19 HR, 37 RBIs) provides even more opportunity. If Rodríguez reaches base, expect Raleigh to clear the bags and bring him home. With his recent form and the opportunity to exploit Williams’ weaknesses, Rodríguez is primed for a massive game.
Tonight, he clears 3+ combined hits, runs, and RBIs with ease.
Best bet: Julio Rodriguez 3+ Hits + Runs + RBI (+120)
He’s cleared this four times in the last seven days—tail it with me in the DKN Betting Group here!
