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Pete Alonso Best Prop Bet for Mets vs. White Sox on Monday 5/26/25

Pete Alonso Best Prop Bet for Mets vs. White Sox on Monday 5/26/25

MLB DraftKings Sportsbook Insights

Published:

By: Griffin Wong

If not for the absolute power display going on in The Bronx and the New York Knicks’ 20-point comeback in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals, Pete Alonso and the New York Mets might be the talk of the Big Apple. One season after losing in the NL Championship Series, New York is 32-21 and Alonso is slashing .291/.391/.536 with 10 homers and 40 RBI’s after going deep against Los Angeles Dodgers starter Landon Knack last night.

Alonso and the Mets have a much easier matchup tonight in the Chicago White Sox, who sit at the bottom of the AL Central with a 17-36 record, which would be the talk of the MLB if the Colorado Rockies weren’t 9-44.

New York is a 1.5-run favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook and the total is set for 8.5. Below, I’ve highlighted my favorite prop bet centered around Polar Bear Pete.

Best Pete Alonso Prop Bet on DraftKings Sportsbook

Pete Alonso 2+ Total Bases (+105)

Alonso’s first-inning homer last night snapped the longest power drought of his career, as he hadn’t previously gone deep since May 5. Across that span, he’s seen his batting average drop from .349 to .291 and his slugging percentage drop from .649 to .536. He seems to be making his way out of it, though, after recording a two-hit game on Saturday against Los Angeles and the homer yesterday. Even after the slump, Alonso still ranks near the top of the league in several important hitting categories. He’s in the top decile in seven out of the 13 Statcast categories, including the 98th percentile in each of the three most relevant to this particular prop: average exit velocity, barrel percentage, and hard-hit percentage.

He should have no problem getting hard hits against White Sox starter Adrian Houser, who has recorded negative WAR in two of his past three seasons and got fairly lucky in his first start of the 2025 season. Last season, Houser ranked in the bottom five percentiles in average exit velocity, chase rate, whiff percentage, and strikeout percentage, and he gave up a 62.5% hard-hit percentage and a 96.6 average exit velocity in his first start this season. His expected wOBA was worse than his actual wOBA for every single one of his pitches, indicating that he got extremely lucky not to give up a run. Chicago also has the league’s eighth-worst fielding runs above average total, so once Alonso makes contact, you shouldn’t expect the White Sox to turn it into outs.

Griffin Wong
Griffin Wong has been a content writer at DK Network since November 2024. Prior to that, he was the former sports editor for the Harvard Crimson, where he covered the football team for two years and earned four Story of the Year nominations from the Associated College Press. A lifelong Lakers and Dodgers fan, Griffin’s favorite athlete of all time is Kobe Bryant. When he’s not writing, Griffin is usually skiing, running, golfing, or playing basketball — badly.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.