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MLB Prop Bets: Best Player Props & Team Picks for May 20, 2025

MLB Prop Bets: Best Player Props & Team Picks for May 20, 2025

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By: Steve Buchanan

Tuesday night brings another full night of baseball, with all 30 teams in action. Below, I’ll give out some of my favorite MLB Picks, including player props and team picks for May 20th. All of these bets will be available on DraftKings Sportsbook, and you can easily find them by clicking on their headline.

Follow me on Twitter for daily MLB info and bets: @SBuchanan24.

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MLB Prop Bets for Tuesday, May 20, 2025

Francisco Lindor over 2+ bases +100

Lindor is well-positioned tonight against Red Sox starter Walker Buehler. This season against lefties, Buehler has posted a .347 wOBA and a 4.25 FIP, while allowing two of the five home runs he’s given up. Buehler has a diverse pitch arsenal, but he primarily relies on fastball variations. Accounting for 60% of his pitches, Buehler throws a four-seam fastball, cutter, and sinker. Lindor doesn’t falter against any of these, posting at least a .337 wOBA and a .190 ISO against each since last season. Lindor has recorded at least two bases in 47% of his games in 2025.


Atlanta Braves over 4.5 runs -120

After a strong start in April, Mitchell Parker has fallen off a cliff in May. Through 12.2 innings this month, Parker has a 9.24 ERA with a .365 wOBA and a 5.6 BB/9 (walks per nine innings). For comparison, he had a 2.65 ERA with a .253 wOBA through 37.1 innings in March and April. Tonight, he’ll face a Braves team that hits fastballs from lefties very well. Parker throws that pitch 57% of the time, and while opposing hitters have only a .209 batting average against it, the xBA (expected batting average) jumps to .277, with an xwOBA of .382. The Nationals’ bullpen has also been a sore spot lately, which will allow the Braves ample opportunities to exceed the run total.

Dylan Cease over 5.5 strikeouts -110

Dylan Cease has been posting stellar strikeout numbers this season. Through 47 innings, he has an 11.11 K/9 (strikeouts per nine innings), the second-best mark of his career. His swing-and-miss rate of 15.5% is a career high. The Blue Jays aren’t typically a team I target for strikeout props, but with Cease’s arsenal, I’m comfortable doing so. His slider, which accounts for 55% of his pitches, generates a 37% swing-and-miss rate. The Blue Jays’ expected lineup for tonight has a 24.5% strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers this season through 173 plate appearances.

Good luck with these MLB picks tonight!

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Follow me on Twitter for daily MLB info and bets! @SBuchanan24

Steve has been with DraftKings for over 10 years, covering baseball and football from a sports betting and fantasy perspective. He’s written hundreds of articles that have helped readers research and make informative bets or fantasy lineups. During this time, Steve has also been featured on a number of national broadcasts, including MLB Network, ESPN, and NFL Network.
Disclaimer

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.