Tonight, No. 8 Gilbert Burns faces up-and-coming prospect No. 12 Michael Morales in the Main Event of a UFC Fight Night. Burns has lost his last three fights but has fought extremely tough competition. His previous three opponents were No. 2 Sean Brady, the former welterweight champion Belal Muhammad, and current 170-pound king Jack Della Maddalena.
Burns will have a chance to earn his first victory in over two years against Morales. Here are my favorite prop bets for Burns against Morales tonight.
Best Gilbert Burns Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
Gilbert Burns over 42.5 Significant Strikes (-115)
Burns is a talented striker, averaging 3.17 significant strikes per minute. Even though Burns is on a losing streak, he has still shown he is a tough guy to finish. Burns has totaled more than 42.5 significant strikes in two of his last three fights. Also, in Burns’ last three main events, he has hit this mark.
Morales produces a higher output on the feet than Burns. But if Burns can use his good defense while being aggressive and not wait for Morales to initiate offense, he should be able to find success. You can get Burns at -115 on DraftKings Sportsbook to record more than 42.5 significant strikes.
Gilbert Burns under 1.5 Takedowns (-160)
Burns has shown elite takedown ability throughout his career, but lately that hasn’t been the case. He has had under 1.5 takedowns in two of his previous three bouts, and the best play seems to get Burns under 1.5 takedowns at -160.
So far, Morales has displayed an incredible 92 percent takedown defense in the UFC. With Morales being taller by two inches while having an eight-inch reach advantage, it will be hard for Burns to get him to the ground. This contest will likely take place primarily on the feet, and if it does, it would be surprising for Burns to total two takedowns.
