Tonight, DraftKings Sportsbook is offering an amazing profit boost promotion. If you create a same game parlay (SGP) for Game 6 between the Nuggets and the Thunder, you’ll then be issued a single-use Profit Boost Token. The only catch? The parlay has to be at least three legs with odds of at least +300 or longer. Seems simple enough, right? So simple I think I’ll whip one up right now.
Here’s my favorite same game parlay for Thursday’s tilt between Oklahoma City and Denver.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Same-Game Parlay
- Nikola Jokic 43+ Points + Rebounds
- Jamal Murray 2+ Three-Pointers Made
- Thunder ML
SGP Odds: +370
At first glance, these parlay legs might not seems compatible. Nikola Jokic is likely going to have a triple-double and Jamal Murray is going to shoot the lights out, but the Nuggets are still going to lose? Make it make sense. The fact of the matter is that Denver’s spent most of the playoffs operating with a tight seven-man rotation — sometimes what I would even call a 6.5-man rotation depending on the instant effectiveness of Peyton Watson. Because of this concentration, it’s simply easier to back the over on Nuggets player props than Thunder ones.
I mean, both Jokic and Murray have logged at least 40 minutes of action in every semi-competitive contest in this series. Game 2’s blowout being the lone exception. I’m not sure David Adelman can ask much more of either man, but with Denver facing down elimination on Thursday evening, there’s certainly a chance Jokic and Murray each somehow see a couple extra possessions. Specific to these props, Jokic has recorded a combined 43 points and rebounds only twice so far in this series, yet he’s also only shot above 38% from the field twice, averaging 43.0 points per contest on those occasions. He doesn’t need to make everything like he did in Game 5 to hit this prop, he just can’t shoot like he did in Game 3 or Game 4. Meanwhile, Murray’s made multiple threes in every contest versus the Thunder and he’s directly on the heels of attempting 13 field goals from deep in Tuesday’s loss.
On the whole, I don’t want to discredit how close this series has been, yet it does feel a little fortuitous that we’re even staring down the barrel of a Game 6. There’s a real case to be made that Oklahoma City should have won all five of these tilts, with a bizarre fouling strategy costing them Game 1 and Game 3 being a coin flip that happened to go to overtime. The Thunder own the league’s best postseason net rating (+14.1). They owned the league’s best net rating during the regular season (+12.7). They’re the best team. Plain and simple. I’ll continue to back them, even as a road favorite in Denver.
