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NBA Playoff Best Bets: Thunder vs. Nuggets Best Prop Bets for Game 5

NBA Playoff Best Bets: Thunder vs. Nuggets Best Prop Bets for Game 5

Updated:

By: Alex Hunter

The Thunder will be hosting the Nuggets for Game 5 of this second-round series between these clubs in Oklahoma City on Tuesday. Currently, this series is tied at two wins apiece. On DraftKings Sportsbook, the Thunder are favored by 9.5 points for Game 5 and this contest carries a total of O/U 221 points.

Below, I dive into three of my favorite player prop bets for Tuesday’s Game 5 between the Thunder and the Nuggets on DraftKings Sportsbook.


Best Thunder vs. Nuggets Player Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Chet Holmgren U 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-154)

Holmgren has gone cold from deep recently. In his last five starts, Holmgren has only hit 3-of-19 three-pointers (16%) and he is only averaging 0.6 made three-pointers per game. Holmgren has only hit more than one three-pointer in one of these last five games and for the season, he is only averaging 1.5 made three-pointers per game.

Holmgren’s usage has been under 20% in three of his last five starts and he is a great bet to fall short of 1.5 made three-pointers in Game 5.


Aaron Gordon O 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120)

Gordon is having a superb postseason. While ranking third for the Nuggets with 38.4 minutes per game, the forward is averaging 18.3 points, 7.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game during these playoffs, and he has exceeded 26.5 PRA in six of his 11 starts. Gordon is nearly shooting 50% from the field and he is handling an 18.6% usage rate. Furthermore, Gordon has been active on the glass, with 12.5 rebounding chances per game.

Gordon has been very clutch for Denver this postseason and his heroics should continue in this pivotal Game 5 with over 26.5 PRA.


Jalen Williams U 21.5 Points (-125)

Williams has had a difficult time against the Nuggets this season, averaging 18.8 PPG (six games), which is well under his 21.5 PPG average for the season. The 24-year-old has stayed under 21.5 points in four of his six matchups with the Nuggets and he has especially had trouble when defended by Gordon in this second-round series. Williams has been defended by Gordon for 17.5 minutes and has shot a poor 4-of-13 from the field in this individual matchup.

Williams’ usage has been 2.0 percentage points lower in the postseason compared to the regular season and 21.5 points is just too high of a line for the wing in this tough spot vs. the Nuggets.


Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.