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NBA Best Bets: Top Chet Holmgren player props for Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 3

NBA Best Bets: Top Chet Holmgren player props for Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 3

Updated:

By: Keagan Smith

Oklahoma City Thunder big man Chet Holmgren stepped up with a 15-point, 11-rebound double-double in a Game 2 blowout win over the Denver Nuggets. To top it off, he tacked on four combined stocks and backed up every bit of defensive reputation attached to his name. As the NBA Playoffs continue, Holmgren will need to put up a similar performance in tonight’s Game 3, this time on the road at a mile-high elevation.

Here’s the top Chet Holmgren prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 3 on Friday night.

Best Chet Holmgren prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Holmgren’s prop lines on DraftKings Sportsbook currently sit at 15.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists, and 1.5 three-pointers. His combined PTS + REB + AST line is set at 25.5 across the three major categories.

With just a couple of hours to go until tip-off, the spread favors the Thunder by six points and the team holds -245 odds to win on the Moneyline. The game total continues to tick up in this series as it now sits at a combined 232 points.

Holmgren’s scoring production isn’t the most impressive, but he’s playing his role as a secondary option well alongside teammate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s excellence. With averages of 16.8 points, 8.0 rebounds, and a combined 3.8 stocks per game, Chet’s contributions have actually flown under the radar through six playoff games.

Now, what are the top prop bets for the Thunder big man tonight? Don’t fall for his points prop. Yes, his 15.5-point line feels low, but he’s stayed under that line in five straight games against the Nuggets this season. The last time he tallied 16 or more points against Denver was on October 24 at the very start of the season in a 25-point outing. Bettors can consider the under here at -125 odds, but it’s slightly risky since he put up 16 points in three straight contests to start the playoffs.

Instead, over 1.5 three-pointers at +114 odds looks like the better Holmgren prop bet in tonight’s Game 3 action. The 23-year-old hits from deep range at a 40.6% clip with 13 makes on 32 attempts this postseason, sinking at least two threes in four of six NBA Playoffs games so far. Holmgren prefers to play from outside more than in the post. With opposing center Nikola Jokic playing drop coverage more often than not, Chet should have room on the perimeter. Thunder center Isaiah Hartenstein could benefit from this too, but watch for Chet to see some open looks and knock them down.

Keagan is a Texas-based editor and analyst who believes sports are the true eighth wonder of the world. After starting out in local media, he’s provided coverage for DraftKings Network since 2024. He gravitates toward football, hoops and hockey, but is happy to watch and write about any game that involves a ball or a puck. While his own athletic career ended in middle school, he’s also an avid fantasy player with a soft spot for dynasty formats, spending countless hours crafting the ever-elusive perfect squad.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.