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NBA Best Bets Today: Top Playoff Picks for Monday 4/28/25

NBA Best Bets Today: Top Playoff Picks for Monday 4/28/25

Published:

By: Grant Afseth

The NBA playoffs heat up on Monday, April 28, with two crucial matchups. Here are the top betting picks on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Here is the full NBA schedule for Monday, April 28 (all times Eastern):

  • Cavaliers at Heat, 7:30 p.m.
  • Rockets at Warriors, 10 p.m.

Cavaliers -8.5 (-110)

Cleveland has dominated the opening three games of their first-round series against the Miami Heat and come off a commanding 124-87 blowout in Game 3. The Cavaliers have displayed remarkable depth, even in the absence of key players like Darius Garland, who is questionable due to a toe injury. In Game 3, Cleveland had multiple players step up, including Jarrett Allen (22 points), De’Andre Hunter (21 points), and Evan Mobley (19 points), all of whom contributed to a 37-point victory.

Cleveland coach Kenny Atkinson knows the importance of closing out the series quickly to stay fresh for the next round. Despite the lopsided Game 3 win, Atkinson expects Miami to come out fighting, emphasizing that this is not a typical eight seed. However, with the Heat facing a massive 3-0 deficit, they’ll have to defy history to avoid being swept. The Cavaliers have been the more dominant team, and with their depth and momentum, Cleveland should be able to cover the -8.5 spread in Game 4.


Warriors -4 (-112)

The Golden State Warriors look to take a 3-1 lead in their first-round series against the Houston Rockets when they face off on Monday night in San Francisco. The Warriors earned a key 104-93 win in Game 3, led by Stephen Curry’s 36-point performance. Curry has been the backbone of the Warriors’ offense, averaging 29 points, seven assists, and six rebounds in the series.

Houston had a chance to steal Game 3, leading at the start of the fourth quarter, but Golden State’s experience ultimately prevailed. The Rockets have struggled with consistency, particularly from Jalen Green, who had just nine points on 4-of-11 shooting in Game 3 after his explosive 38-point performance in Game 2. The Warriors’ defense, particularly their ability to limit Green’s space, has been key to their success.

If Butler plays, the Rockets will face a tough challenge in containing Curry and the Warriors’ offense. With Golden State’s championship pedigree and momentum, the Warriors are favored to cover the -4 spread in this critical Game 4.


Ty Jerome Over 16.5 Points + Assists (-115)

Ty Jerome has been a valuable contributor for the Cavaliers during the 2025 postseason, averaging 15.7 points, 4.7 assists, and 3.7 rebounds through three games. Jerome had a double-double performance in Game 3 against the Heat, posting 13 points and 11 assists.

With the Cavaliers continuing to lean on depth early in the playoffs, Jerome’s ability to facilitate and score makes him a strong candidate to exceed the 16.5 combined points and assists line in Game 4. His role scoring and distributing the ball makes this a solid bet to hit the over.


Stephen Curry Over 27.5 Points (-110)

Stephen Curry continues to shine in the postseason, averaging 29 points, seven assists, and six rebounds through three games in the series. His 36-point outburst in Game 3 was critical to Golden State’s victory, and he’s proven that he can take over a game when needed.

Curry has been the driving force for the Warriors, and with the Rockets struggling to contain him, he is well-positioned to surpass the 27.5-point line once again. Expect Curry to continue his strong play in Game 4, as the Warriors look to take a commanding 3-1 lead.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is grant-afseth) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.