Tonight, the NHL’s top duo takes the ice on the road to kick off the Edmonton Oilers’ first-round playoff series against the Los Angeles Kings. This matchup is something of a yearly staple in the NHL as these teams clash for the fourth consecutive postseason, but might the scales tip in the Kings’ favor for the first time in round four of this Stanley Cup Playoffs tradition?
Ahead of the 10 p.m. EST puck drop for tonight’s Kings vs. Oilers series opener, here’s a prediction and best bet for how the game will go.
Kings vs. Oilers Game 1 prediction, pick
On DraftKings Sportsbook, the Kings are actually favored to open the series with a win at -130 odds on the Moneyline tonight. Somewhere, a voice asks, “But why, aren’t they up against Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl?” Indeed they are, mysterious disembodied voice… and it does not matter.
The Kings are the NHL’s deadliest team when playing at home this season with an impressive 31-6-4 record. They may not have a superstar on the ice like the Oilers do, but the environment in Crypto.com Arena is a rowdy one and the team parlays that energy into an advantage. Los Angeles plays a physical brand of hockey their opponent isn’t necessarily prepared to face. If the Kings lay enough hits early and often, they can wear Edmonton out and win this game — and the series, too.
The Kings also have a very, very hot goalie. Darcy Kuemper’s save percentage across the last two months sits at .939 while boasting an amazing 1.45 goals-against average. The red light behind him stays dark, but Kuemper himself appears ablaze over this hot streak. Across the ice, Stuart Skinner is on no such streak with a save percentage below .900. The Kings’ advantage in goal is clear.
Sure, the Oilers’ firepower takes over games, but against a Kings defense which allowed the second-fewest goals per game this season anchored by a hot goalie, Los Angeles might just start this series off with a bang. Kings Moneyline at -130 odds is a solid pick, but over 24.5 saves for Kuemper looks appealing at -120 odds, too. The latter holds appeal as tonight’s best bet.
Best bet: Darcy Kuemper over 24.5 saves