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MLB Home Run No-Sweat Bet Today, 4/17/25

MLB Home Run No-Sweat Bet Today, 4/17/25

Published:

By: Nick Friar

Split slate between early afternoon and evening games on Thursday as some teams prepare to hit the road for the weekend. Still got some quality options for those looking to take advantage of the MLB Home Run No-Sweat Bet promotion on Draftkings Sportsbook.

Speaking of which, before casting your MLB Home Run No-Sweat Bet on Thursday, be sure to take advantage of the promotion by opting-in here.

Standout No-Sweat Home Run Bet Options

One of these three is not like the others:

  • Ryan Mountcastle +850 vs. Cleveland
  • Bobby Witt Jr. +650 at Detroit
  • Aaron Judge +180 at Tampa Bay

Tanner Bibbe hasn’t been particularly effective against right-handed hitters this season, giving up three home runs and a double to them across three starts. All told, they have a 48.3% fly-ball rate against the Cleveland right-hander. Additionally, Bibbee has just an 18.2% strikeout rate against righties to start 2025. Enter Mountcastle, who has a 27.6% line-drive rate to go with his modest 31% fly-ball rate against right-handed pitching. Also worth noting: Mountcastle has just a 10.3% soft-contact rate against righties.

Witt is back in the mix because he’s facing a pitcher who he’s thrived against. Across 13 career plate appearances against Reese Olson, he’s 6-for-11 with four extra-base hits — two being home runs.

Judge, conversely, is 0-for-3 across six plate appearances vs. Taj Bradley. The appeal here is the contact right-handed hitters are producing against Tampa’s starter. Righty bats have just a 21.1% ground-ball rate against Bradley to open the season. Lots of opportunities for Judge to get the ball in the air at a minor league stadium.

No-Sweat Pick

Ryan Mountcastle +850

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.