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Picks, Best Bets for UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy

Picks, Best Bets for UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

Tonight at the UFC Apex, No. 8 Josh Emmett headlines the event against No. 10 Lerone Murphy. The Prelims start at 6:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+ with the Main Card beginning at 9:00 p.m. ET. Here are my two best bets for UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy.

Lerone Murphy To Win By Decision (-110)

Since having a draw in his first UFC bout, Lerone Murphy has won seven straight fights in the promotion. In 2024, Murphy beat Edson Barboza and Dan Ige, his two most significant career victories. Murphy’s last four wins, and five of his last six, have come by decision. Five of Murphy’s seven career knockouts came before he entered the UFC.

Murphy is a -325 favorite to win this bout against Emmett on DraftKings Sportsbook. But the better value is to get Murphy to win this bout at -110. Although Emmett knocked out Bryce Mitchell in his previous fight, his three previous wins before that came by decision.

Torrez Finney To Win By KO/TKO/DQ (+140)

The opening bout of the Main Card features exciting UFC debutant Torrez Finney against Robert Valentin. Finney has seven knockouts in his 10 MMA wins. Finney has won two of his last three and three of five by knockout. After winning three fights on Dana White’s Contender Series before getting a UFC contract, Finney needs another impressive performance to get in the good graces of the UFC brass.

You can get Finney at -310 on DraftKings Sportsbook to beat Valentin. Even though Finney is five inches shorter than Valentin, he only has a two-inch smaller standing reach. Finney is 5’8″ and has often been the shorter fighter at middleweight. Valentin was knocked out in his last bout. A knockout could be likely if Finney can be aggressive and put Valentin on his back foot.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.