It’s been an interesting couple of months for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Blue Jays, who failed to come to an agreement on a long-term contract before the start of the regular season. Still, while Guerrero’s name has mostly been in the news for monetary reasons, the All-Star remains one of the best and most popular players in MLB.
Here’s my best Guerrero Jr. prop bet for Monday night’s matchup with the Nationals.
Best Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3+ Total Bases (+200)
While his surface stats don’t really show it, Guerrero Jr. mashed the baseball all weekend long against the Orioles. Across 18 plate appearances, the former No. 1 prospect managed an average exit velocity of 103.3 mph, which translated to an eye-popping .521 expected wOBA on batted ball events. Guerrero Jr. has always hit the ball hard, but this was something special.
The concept of “being due” is a time-honored tradition in baseball that can’t really be quantified, though expected stats do make that task a little easier in 2025. Needless to say, Guerrero Jr. is due for a couple extra-base knocks.
He’ll have a chance to collect said hits on Monday versus Mike Soroka and the Nationals. The veteran RHP found a little success in moving to the bullpen in 2024, yet Soroka is being asked to start once again in Washington, despite a pretty underwhelming Spring Training. In the last 15 starts that Soroka has made at the MLB level, opponents are slashing .264/.356/.528 with a gargantuan .377 wOBA. Knowing all that, it’s not difficult to see why Guerrero and the Jays sport one of tonight’s highest implied team totals.
