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MLB Home Run No-Sweat Bet Today, 3/31/25

MLB Home Run No-Sweat Bet Today, 3/31/25

Published:

By: Nick Friar

DraftKings Sportsbook’s MLB Home Run No-Sweat Bet promotion continues with Monday’s 14-game slate. There are four early afternoon games, then there’s a series of start times from 6:40 p.m. to 10:10 p.m. Eastern Time.

Whatever time you’re looking to take advantage of this promotion, make sure to opt-in here.

We’ll be focusing on later games here, but an option worth considering for the early window is the red-hot Kyle Schwarber (+250). He’s already got two home runs, and we know he gets hot, the home runs just keep coming. Facing a guy that he’s taken deep twice in his career presents another opportunity for him to keep the good times rolling.

Standout No-Sweat Home Run Bet Options

Among the evening games, the following hitters jump out:

  • Andres Gimenez +950 vs. WAS
  • Patrick Bailey +700 vs. HOU
  • Kyle Tucker +320 vs. OAK

Like Schwarber, Gimenez is cooking. But unlike Philadelphia’s leadoff man, Toronto’s cleanup hitter has rather long odds to go deep vs. the Nationals. To open things, he’ll get a look at Michael Soroka — someone he’s taken deep once before. All told, he’s 2-for-7 across nine plate appearances against the right-hander. Left-handed hitters had five home runs across 79 plate appearances against Soroka in 2024. That helped lead to .357 wOBA against him within the split. Perhaps more important: Lefties had a HR/FB rate of 31.3% against Soroka last season.

Bailey has also seen the pitcher he’s opposing on Monday, Ronel Blanco. However, he only has  a double against the Houston right-hander across three opportunities. All eight of Bailey’s 2024 home runs came against right-handed pitching. Meanwhile, 14 of the 22 home runs that Blanco gave up were hit by lefty batters.

Tucker has three plate appearances against the Athletics’ Joey Estes. Two resulted in walks, and the third was a single. There’s been no display of power against the right-hander by Tucker to this point, but he clearly doesn’t see Estes poorly. The right-hander wasn’t particularly effective against righties or lefties in 2024, but what jumps out is that he gave up 11 home runs to lefties across 252 plate appearances, as opposed to 12 over 291 to righties. Combine all of that with the fact that this game is going to be played in a Triple-A stadium, and Tucker has a chance to hit his third homer of 2025.

No-Sweat Pick

Andres Gimenez +950

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.