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Best Luis Arraez Prop Bet for Guardians vs. Padres on Monday 3/31/25

Best Luis Arraez Prop Bet for Guardians vs. Padres on Monday 3/31/25

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By: Charlie Cummings

Stop me if you’ve heard this before: Luis Arraez is good at getting hits.

Well, maybe not as much this year. The three-time defending batting title winner is off to an 0-for-13 start at the plate this year. That’s an uncharacteristic slump for the career .321 hitter who should be in his prime.

This didn’t hinder the Padres much as they swept the flailing Atlanta Braves in the opening four-game series. Now, they welcome the Cleveland Guardians to Petco Park for three games. This could be a chance for Arraez to get his season going, facing a team he has plenty of experience against.

On DraftKings Sportsbook, San Diego is the home favorite at -135, and the run total is set at 8. Below, I’ve highlighted my favorite prop bet for this contest.


Best Luis Arraez Prop Bet on DraftKings Sportsbook

Over 1.5 Hits (+190)

First off, you’re not going to keep this man down for long. He may not hit for much power, steal many bags, or play valuable defense. But I’m not here to litigate the value of Luis Arraez the baseball player. As Brad Pitt in Moneyball asked, “Can he get on base?”

The answer in his case is almost always yes. There’s also some additional juice in this matchup. Arraez has a lifetime 5-for-9 mark against Guardians starting pitcher Luis Ortiz, so he sees him well. There are also plenty of arms in the Cleveland bullpen that Arraez is familiar with.

More on the gut feeling side, Arraez is due to break out of his 0-for to start the season, and a season-opening 7-game homestand will have him feeling cozy. He got to sleep in his own bed last night and thought about how he wants to attack Ortiz. Expect the reigning hitting champ to break out tonight for a couple of singles. Maybe even sprinkle on 3+ hits at +800 odds.


Charlie Cummings is a Bay Area-born writer living in Denver. A basketball junkie, he specializes in NBA and WNBA content, but also dabbles in soccer, baseball, football and hockey. You can find him on Twitter @klaytheist11 where he’s posting through it on a daily basis.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.