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NBA Best Bets: Top Kevin Durant prop for Suns at Timberwolves on 3/28/25

NBA Best Bets: Top Kevin Durant prop for Suns at Timberwolves on 3/28/25

Updated:

By: Keagan Smith

The championship aspirations the Phoenix Suns entered the NBA season with quickly came crashing down to Earth as the team came face-to-face with a stacked Western Conference. With less than 10 games remaining in the campaign, the Phoenix Suns are still fighting for their postseason lives as they’re just outside the play-in picture at 11th place in the conference.

Kevin Durant desperately needs a win tonight — here’s the top KD prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Suns at Timberwolves tonight.

Best Kevin Durant prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings Sportsbook lists Durant’s prop lines at 26.5 points, 4.5 assists, 5.5 rebounds, and 2.5 three-pointers. His PTS + REB + AST O/U sits at 35.5.

The Suns are listed as +240 underdogs on the Moneyline in this contest, which carries a total of 224 points. Their opponents for tonight rank sixth in defensive rating as well as points per game allowed, so they’re a tough matchup for a Phoenix squad which has struggled to string together consistent success all season.

The Durant pick I like most tonight is over 4.5 assists at +120 odds. Most of his other O/U lines don’t have a similarly-valued option, and it’s a bit surprising the over is listed at plus-odds to begin with since Durant averages 4.3 assists per game this season and has the ball in his hands plenty. The Timberwolves’ defense is strong overall, and while they’ve faltered a bit lately, Durant commands matchups with top defenders and should deal with Jaden McDaniels for much of this game.

The Slim Reaper has exceeded 4.5 dimes in 30 of his 60 appearances this year, so we’re working with a 50% hit rate on the dot. Beyond that, this over hit in three of his last five games; six of his last 10; and eight of his last 15. He’d dished out at least five assists in three straight games prior to Wednesday, too. At +120 odds, over 4.5 dimes feels good tonight.

Keagan is a Texas-based editor and analyst who believes sports are the true eighth wonder of the world. After starting out in local media, he’s provided coverage for DraftKings Network since 2024. He gravitates toward football, hoops and hockey, but is happy to watch and write about any game that involves a ball or a puck. While his own athletic career ended in middle school, he’s also an avid fantasy player with a soft spot for dynasty formats, spending countless hours crafting the ever-elusive perfect squad.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.