With Alex Condon (ankle) questionable for Florida’s Elite Eight game against the Texas Tech Red Raiders, superstar guard Walter Clayton Jr. will be even more pivotal a conductor for his squad if they have Final Four hopes. Let’s evaluate his betting markets and see which prop presents the most value, and aligns with our Florida vs. Texas Tech game prediction.
Here’s how I’ll play Sears’s lines tonight. I’ll also still be writing up predictions for individual games each round, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more to-the-minute, point-of-need analyses and plays throughout conference tournament week.
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Best Walter Clayton Jr. prop bet for Florida vs. Texas Tech
Walter Clayton 27+ points + rebounds + assists (-120)
Walter Clayton Jr. has been on an absolute tear, and tonight’s matchup against Texas Tech in the Elite Eight offers a prime opportunity for him to clear 27 points, rebounds, and assists. Clayton’s performance in Florida’s Sweet Sixteen win over Maryland was a masterclass in scoring and playmaking, dropping 22 points and dishing out six assists. He’s been an integral part of the Gators’ offensive game plan, and his all-around play has taken center stage, particularly in the postseason.
Over the last five games, Clayton’s numbers have skyrocketed. In the SEC Tournament and March Madness, he averaged 21.25 points, 4.25 rebounds, and 7.5 assists, totaling 32 points, rebounds, and assists per game. This uptick comes as no surprise given his versatility and scoring ability—he’s been consistently playing at a high level, even when facing the toughest competition. And, with 87.7% free-throw shooting (including a 42 consecutive free throws made streak), he’s a constant threat to add easy points when drawing fouls.
Defensively, Texas Tech has shown weaknesses in handling high-usage guards like Clayton, allowing 40.2% shooting from the field against guards. More specifically, in their matchup with Arkansas, guards scored 20 points, shooting at a 44.6% clip. In Florida’s game against Maryland, guards scored 19 points on 46.1% shooting. this is a good sign for Clayton’s PRA threshold, here.
With Florida’s uptempo offense and Clayton’s ability to drive and dish, he’s in a perfect position to capitalize on these weaknesses and put up major numbers.
Best bet: Walter Clayton Jr 27+ PRA (-120)
Tail Clayton Jr. to simply be The Guy against Texas Tech with me in the DKN Betting Group here!
Want to approach your March Madness Bracket with the same precision as the top 1% of bracket pool winners? Check out what the PoolGenius optimizer has to offer!
