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Kentucky vs. Troy NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions – NCAA Tournament First Round

Kentucky vs. Troy NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions – NCAA Tournament First Round

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By: DK.Network.Editors

The No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (22-11) face off against the No. 14 Troy Trojans (23-10) in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament tonight, tipping off at 7:10 p.m. ET.


Kentucky vs. Troy Predictions

  • Our prediction to win on the Moneyline in this game is Kentucky.
  • Against the spread, we project that Troy will cover. The spread is currently Troy +11.5.
  • As for the total, we see this one going under the posted over/under of 152.5 points. Our projected total for the match is 150.8 points.

Kentucky vs. Troy Odds

  • Spread: Kentucky (-11.5)
  • Moneyline: Kentucky -741 | Troy +518
  • Total: 152.5

  • The Wildcats are 16-17-0 ATS this season.
  • Kentucky has been favored by 11.5 points or more nine times this season, and covered the spread in five of those matchups.
  • Wildcats games have gone over the point total 19 out of 33 times this season.
  • The Wildcats have won 16 of the 22 games they were listed as the Moneyline favorite this season (72.7%).
  • Kentucky has won all nine games it played as a Moneyline favorite with odds of -741 or shorter.
  • The Trojans are 21-10-1 ATS this season.
  • Troy has covered the spread once when an underdog by 11.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
  • So far this year, 15 out of the Trojans’ 32 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
  • The Trojans have entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won twice.
  • Troy has not won as an underdog of +518 or more on the Moneyline this season in three games with those odds or longer.

Kentucky Key Stats

  • Points: 85.3 PPG (4th) | FG%: 48.3% (22nd)
  • Opp. Points: 77.9 PPG (323rd) | Opp. FG%: 43.7% (173rd)
  • Rebounds: 34.5 RPG (51st) | Opp. Rebounds: 31.7 RPG (213th)
  • Assists: 16.8 APG (19th) | Turnovers: 10.5 TPG (115th)
  • Steals: 6.8 SPG (171st) | Blocks: 4 BPG (80th)

Troy Key Stats

  • Points: 73.9 PPG (174th) | FG%: 43.8% (227th)
  • Opp. Points: 65.4 PPG (24th) | Opp. FG%: 40.3% (23rd)
  • Rebounds: 34.9 RPG (36th) | Opp. Rebounds: 29.1 RPG (59th)
  • Assists: 13.8 APG (158th) | Turnovers: 12.7 TPG (316th)
  • Steals: 9.4 SPG (10th) | Blocks: 4.7 BPG (26th)

This article contains AI-generated editorial insights provided by Data Skrive.


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