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Fantasy Basketball Picks Today: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for Monday 3/17/25

Fantasy Basketball Picks Today: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for Monday 3/17/25

Published:

By: Stan Son

There are 10 NBA games on Monday’s slate.

LAL, MIN, PHI, PHO, POR, TOR and UTA are playing the second leg of a back-to-back.

As for injuries, Nikola Jokic, Tyrese Haliburton, Stephen Curry, Jamal Murray, Zion Williamson, Andrew Wiggins, Myles Turner, Aaron Nesmith, Yves Missi, Kelly Olynyk, Aaron Gordon, Quinten Post, Scotty Pippen Jr., Trey Lyles and Marcus Smart are questionable. Josh Giddey and Santi Aldama are doubtful. Ja Morant, Pascal Siakam and Corey Kispert are out. Keep track of all the pertinent injury updates at DK Live.

On DraftKings Sportsbook, there are two double-digit favorites: LAL -10.5 over SAS and HOU -13 over PHI. There are two games within 3 points: GSW -3 over DEN and MEM -3 over SAC. There are seven games with a total of at least 230: IND/MIN (230.5), DET/NOP (232), CHI/UTA (238.5), DEN/GSW (239.5), TOR/PHO (234.5), WAS/POR (231.5) and MEM/SAC (245). There are two games with a total under 220: MIA/NYK (212.5) and PHI/HOU (217).


Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $300K Zone Special [$100K to 1st]


Guard

Stud

Luka Doncic, Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs ($12,000): This is the second leg of a back-to-back, so be vigilant about any rest news for Doncic. If he sits, it’s an easy pivot to Austin Reaves. If Doncic does play, he has the best floor/ceiling/matchup combo on the slate. On Sunday, Doncic went for 33 points, 11 rebounds, eight assists and two steals in 40 minutes. Prior to that, he put up over 60 FPTS in four of five games with a high of 71.25 FPTS. The Victor Wembanyama-less Spurs have been dead last in defensive rating. Yummy for my DFS tummy.

Other Options: Cade Cunningham ($9,800), Anthony Edwards ($9,300), Stephen Curry ($9,100), Desmond Bane ($9,000) if Morant is out, Austin Reaves ($8,900), Tyler Herro ($8,300), Quentin Grimes ($8,100), Jamal Murray ($7,800), Coby White ($7,800), Jalen Green ($7,600), Anfernee Simons ($7,100), Devin Vassell ($6,900), Stephon Castle ($6,600), Russell Westbrook ($6,500), Isaiah Collier ($6,100)

Value

Miles McBride, New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat ($5,500): Since Jalen Brunson went down with an injury, McBride has started four games. In the first contest, he struggled, shooting 2-of-13 from the field and ending with 21 FPTS. Since then, he’s gone over 30 FPTS in every contest, with a high of 41.25 FPTS. Brunson is out until the end of March, so McBride should continue to start. He’s too cheap for the playing time (38 minutes in the last two games) and expected volume.

Other Options: Christian Braun ($6,000), Tre Jones ($5,900), Scoot Henderson ($5,700), Andrew Nembhard ($5,600) if Haliburton is out, Donte DiVinenzo ($5,600), Kevin Huerter ($5,200), Jordan Goodwin ($4,900), Jamal Shead ($4,800) if he starts


Forward

Stud

Deni Avdija, Portland Trail Blazers vs. Washington Wizards ($7,100): Over the last two games, Avdija has played 41 minutes in both, finishing with 68 and 53.25 FPTS! Now, he faces his former team, which has been playing at the fourth-fastest pace over the last 10 games. There is no Bilal Coulibaly to defend him as well.

Other Options: Jaren Jackson Jr. ($8,400), Coby White ($7,800), OG Anunoby ($7,000), Devin Vassell ($6,900), Kyle Filipowski ($6,300) if he starts, Tari Eason ($6,200) if he plays

Value

Moses Moody, Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets ($4,800): Moody has received at least 30 minutes in each of the last four games and has exceeded 30 FPTS in two of those contests. It looks like he’s finally garnered the trust of the coaching staff and is situated in his role. With defenses focused on Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler, Moody should continue getting good looks.

Other Options: Christian Braun ($6,000), Tobias Harris ($5,800), Kyshawn George ($5,700), Justin Champagnie ($5,400), Kelly Olynyk ($5,400), Kevin Huerter ($5,200), Keldon Johnson ($5,000), Karlo Matkovic ($4,900), Jordan Goodwin ($4,900), Colin Castleton ($4,500), Bennedict Mathurin ($4,400) if Haliburton is out


Center

Stud

Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets at Washington Wizards ($13,000): Jokic has finally broached the $13K mark, the first time this season. He’s still probably not priced high enough! It’s crazy. He and Doncic have the best floor/ceiling combos in the game. Doncic has the better matchup, but Jokic is essentially matchup-proof. Over the last five games, Jokic has a floor of 50.25 FPTS and has gone over 75 FPTS twice. He put up 100.25 FPTS six games ago. In the only meeting against Golden State this season, way back in December, Jokic went for 72.5 FPTS.

Other Options: Alperen Sengun ($9,600), Jaren Jackson Jr. ($8,400), Walker Kessler ($7,500) if he starts, Alex Sarr ($6,500), Kyle Filipowski ($6,300) if he starts

Value

Orlando Robinson, Toronto Raptors at Phoenix Suns ($5,000): With injuries and Toronto in tank mode, Robinson became a significant member of the rotation around eight games ago; that’s when he starting receiving over 20 minutes a night. Robinson has responded by going over 20 FPTS in six of those contests. In the last two games, not counting Sunday, Robinson played 32 and 34 minutes, contributing 51 and 38.5 FPTS. Robinson has double-doubled in three straight and has shown the ability to make it rain from downtown.

Other Options: Donovan Clingan ($5,800), Kelly Olynyk ($5,400), Karlo Matkovic ($4,900), Collin Castleton ($4,500)

Stan joined DraftKings in December of 2020. It was a glorious time, except for that whole COVID thing, when we got Madden streams and boisterous bat flips from the KBO. I was brought on board to bring some West Coast flavor. I especially love hoops, and most of my content is in that arena. When I walk along the beach, strumming my guitar, the beat that I hear is not one of crashing waves. No, it is the beat of the ball bouncing off the hardwood with highs provided by the squeaks of the sneakers. Ball is life.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.