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Vanderbilt vs. Texas pick, prediction for SEC Tournament Round 1

Vanderbilt vs. Texas pick, prediction for SEC Tournament Round 1

Updated:

By: Dan Johnson

Super-quick intros because we have a ton of games to get to! SEC Tournament tipping off! Round 1! Longhorns at Vanderbilt—a good ol’ SEC slugfest to get us started today. Let’s get right to it: I’ll run through my preview, prediction, pick, and best bet for this first-round college basketball game between Vanderbilt and Texas in the SEC.

Here’s how I intend to play Wednesday’s first SEC game. I’ll be picking individual games throughout the week, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more to-the-minute, point-of-need analyses and plays throughout Champ Week!


Want to approach your March Madness Bracket with the same precision as the top 1% of bracket pool winners? Check out what the PoolGenius optimizer has to offer!

Vanderbilt vs. Texas preview, prediction for SEC Tournament Round 1

Texas and Vanderbilt square off today in a game that could come down to which team plays closer to its best version. On paper, these teams are nearly identical in scoring production—Texas averages 74.5 points per game (PPG), while Vanderbilt sits at 76.2 PPG. But when you dig into recent performances, Texas has been the steadier team.

The Longhorns’ offense has been up and down, posting just 68 points against Tennessee but exploding for 82 against Kentucky. Their defense, allowing 69.3 PPG on the season, has also shown flashes of dominance—just ask Georgia, who Texas held to 62 points recently. But inconsistency creeps in at times, like when Alabama put up 75 against them.

Vanderbilt, meanwhile, is a team that lives and dies by its offense. They’ve shown they can score in bunches, like their 81-point showing against LSU, but they’ve also sputtered, mustering just 68 against Georgia. Defensively, the Commodores allow 71.8 PPG—more than Texas—and their volatility has been evident. They held South Carolina to just 65 points in one game, then let Florida pour in 78 in another.

Texas at Vanderbilt pick, best bet

Ultimately, Texas has shown a more stable two-way presence, and in a game that will likely come down to defensive execution, they hold the edge. Expect the Longhorns to capitalize on Vanderbilt’s defensive lapses—of which there are indeed many, albeit fewer lately—and come away with a hard-fought win. Most importantly: they’ll cover in the process.

Best bet: Texas +2.5 (-112)
Lean: Texas ML (+124)

Back the Longhorns to cover the small spread against Vandy with me today in the DKNetwork Betting Group here!


Want to approach your March Madness Bracket with the same precision as the top 1% of bracket pool winners? Check out what the PoolGenius optimizer has to offer!

Dan Johnson has been an editor, writer, and analyst for DraftKings and DraftKings Network since 2024. He’s previously held editorial posts at The Paris Review, Macmillan Publishers, Bedford/St. Martin’s Press, ASSIGNMENT Magazine, and FantasySixPack. You can find his various editorial work & writing (sports-related and non-) at all of the above.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is thegreatdansby9) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.